[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KLCH 121602
HLSLCH
LAZ041>045-051>055-TXZ215-216-131615-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1102 AM CDT WED SEP 12 2007

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION #9 FORMS ACROSS THE NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORT O'CONNOR TEXAS TO CAMERON LOUISIANA...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR CAMERON TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO JEFFERSON AND ORANGE COUNTIES IN
SOUTHEAST TEXAS...AND FOR CAMERON ...CALCASIEU...JEFFERSON
DAVIS...VERMILION...ACADIA...LAFAYETTE... IBERIA...UPPER AND LOWER
SAINT MARTIN...SAINT MARY PARISHES.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORT O'CONNOR TEXAS TO
CAMERON LOUISIANA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR CAMERON
TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE NEXT 24
HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITH THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 10 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION #9 IS LOCATED AT
27.8 NORTH LATITUDE...95.2 WEST LONGITUDE...OR 130 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS...180 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CAMERON
LOUISIANA...AND 230 MILES SOUTHWEST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
NO EVACUATIONS OF COASTAL JEFFERSON COUNTY OR COASTAL CAMERON
PARISHES HAS BEEN CALLED FOR AT THIS TIME.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TIDES ARE ALREADY RUNNING ONE AND AN HALF FEET ABOVE NORMAL AT
CAMERON LOUISIANA...AND ONE FOOT ABOVE NORMAL AT SABINE PASS AND
CYPREMORT PORT LOUISIANA. FOR OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING...EXPECT
STORM TIDES TO RANGE BETWEEN 3 AND 4 FEET ACROSS COASTAL JEFFERSON
AND CAMERON PARISHES...AND 2 TO 3 FEET ACROSS COASTAL VERMILION...
IBERIA...AND SAINT MARY PARISHES. THE FOLLOWING TABLE SHOWS PREDICTED
TIDE LEVELS FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHERN LOUISIANA.

AT SABINE PASS ON WEDNESDAY, EXPECT A
LOW TIDE OF 1.0 FEET AT 10:55 AM;
HIGH TIDE OF 1.7 FEET AT 4:25 PM;
LOW TIDE OF 1.0 FEET AT 11:01 PM.

FOR THURSDAY, EXPECT A
LOW TIDE OF 0.8 FEET AT 11:24 AM;
HIGH TIDE OF 1.7 FEET AT 5:32 PM;
LOW TIDE OF 1.3 FEET AT 11:27 PM.

AT CAMERON ON WEDNESDAY, EXPECT A
LOW TIDE OF 1.3 FEET AT 10:09 AM;
HIGH TIDE OF 2.1 FEET AT 3:29 PM;
LOW TIDE OF 1.3 FEET AT 10:15 PM.

FOR THURSDAY, EXPECT A
HIGH TIDE OF 2.0 FEET AT 3:33 AM;
LOW TIDE OF 1.0 FEET AT 10:38 AM;
HIGH TIDE OF 2.1 FEET AT 4:36 PM;
LOW TIDE OF 1.6 FEET AT 10:41 PM.

AT VERMILION BAY ON WEDNESDAY, EXPECT A
LOW TIDE OF 1.0 FEET AT 11:00 AM;
HIGH TIDE OF 1.7 FEET AT 5:11 PM;
LOW TIDE OF 1.0 FEET AT 11:06 PM.

FOR THURSDAY, EXPECT A
HIGH TIDE OF 1.6 FEET AT 5:15 AM;
LOW TIDE OF 0.8 FEET AT 11:29 AM;
HIGH TIDE OF 1.7 FEET AT 6:18 PM;
LOW TIDE OF 1.3 FEET AT 11:32 PM.

...WINDS...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION #9 IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY INTO A TROPICAL
STORM THIS AFTERNOON. WITH THE FORECASTED TRACK...THE ENVELOP OF
SUSTAINED MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS
COASTAL JEFFERSON COUNTY BY MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...AND SPREAD FURTHER
NORTH ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF JEFFERSON...HARDIN...AND TYLER COUNTIES
INTO THE MORNING HOURS THURSDAY. GUSTS OVER TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE RAINBANDS THAT AFFECT SOUTHEAST TEXAS
TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY...AND ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA
TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS PASSING WITHIN THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS ARE:

34 KNOTS FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM WEDNESDAY:
PORT ARTHUR TEXAS:  4%
NEW IBERIA LOUISIANA  3%

34 KNOTS FROM 7 PM WEDNESDAY TO 7 AM THURSDAY:
PORT ARTHUR TEXAS: 23%
NEW IBERIA LOUISIANA  3%

34 KNOTS FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM THURSDAY:
PORT ARTHUR TEXAS:  6%
NEW IBERIA LOUISIANA  3%

INLAND FLOODING...
INLAND FLOODING IS THE BIGGEST WEATHER THREAT WITH THIS SYSTEM...DUE
TO THE SLOW EXPECTED MOVEMENT NORTHWARD. EXPECT AREAWIDE RAINFALL
TOTALS TO RANGE 8 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OVER 15
INCHES POSSIBLE FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS.

...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL BE LOW WITH THIS SYSTEM. HOWEVER...THE
BIGGEST THREAT TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL BE FUNNEL CLOUDS AND WATERSPOUTS
OFFSHORE AND ALONG THE COASTAL COUNTIES AND PARISHES. ONCE THE SYSTEM
MAKES LANDFALL AND MOVES INLAND THURSDAY...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE RAINBANDS THAT SPREAD ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA.

.HYDROLOGIC IMPACT...
HIGH TIDES ALONG THE COAST WILL CAUSE WATER BACK-UP ALONG LOWER
REACHES OF THE CALCASIEU...MERMENTAU...VERMILION...NECHES AND SABINE
RIVERS. CURRENTLY...THE CALCASIEU RIVER AT OLD TOWN BAY AND SALT
WATER BARRIER ARE FORECAST TO REACH THE FLOOD STAGE OF 4 FEET LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. THE EXPECTED HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
ALSO CAUSE AREA RIVER LEVELS AND FLOWS TO INCREASE. RESIDENTS WITH
INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
RIVER FORECASTS FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF FUTURE RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE OUT BY 2 PM CDT.

$$



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