[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMFL 010326
HLSMFL
AMZ630-650-651-670-671-FLZ168-172-173-010930-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1126 PM EDT WED OCT 31 2007

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS...

...NEW INFORMATION...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE ATLANTIC COASTAL
WATERS OF SOUTHEAST FLORIDA FROM JUPITER INLET TO NORTH OF OCEAN
REEF AND OUT 60 NAUTICAL MILES NOT INCLUDING BISCAYNE BAY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS IN SOUTH FLORIDA
AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDING BISCAYNE BAY: PALM BEACH...
BROWARD AND MIAMI-DADE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE ATLANTIC COASTAL
WATERS OF SOUTHEAST FLORIDA FROM JUPITER INLET TO NORTH OF OCEAN
REEF AND OUT 60 NAUTICAL MILES NOT INCLUDING BISCAYNE BAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE IMMEDIATE COASTAL
AREAS OF PALM BEACH, BROWARD AND MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES AND FOR
BISCAYNE BAY.

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR METRO PALM BEACH, BROWARD
AND MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES FOR WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH NOT DIRECTLY
ASSOCIATED WITH NOEL.

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PALM BEACH COUNTY
COASTLINE UNTIL 6 AM.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BROWARD AND MIAMI-
DADE COUNTY COASTLINE UNTIL 6 AM.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM EDT...TROPICAL STORM NOEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.2
NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.5 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 210 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST
OF MIAMI. NOEL HAS BEEN DRIFTING NORTHWARD AROUND 3 MPH AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THURSDAY. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE
NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED THEREAFTER.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAINLY EAST
OF THE CENTER. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THE CENTER OF NOEL IS FORECAST TO REMAIN WELL OFFSHORE THE SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA COAST. HOWEVER...THE OUTER EDGE OF THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS IS EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH THE COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA THURSDAY.

SINCE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE ATLANTIC
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHEAST FLORIDA, MARINERS ARE URGED TO REMAIN IN
SAFE PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS
GREATER THAN 39 MPH...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 36 HOURS. RESIDENTS OF
THE IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREAS OF PALM BEACH, BROWARD AND MIAMI-DADE
COUNTIES SHOULD CHECK THEIR PREPAREDNESS AND BE READY FOR ACTION IN
CASE NOEL TAKES A PATH THAT WOULD BRING THE CENTER CLOSER TO
SOUTHEAST FLORIDA.

MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO USE EXTREME CAUTION TONIGHT AND THURSDAY AS
STRONG WINDS WILL MAKE DRIVING HAZARDOUS...PARTICULARLY OVER BRIDGES
AND CAUSEWAYS. HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES LIKE TRUCKS AND VANS MAY BE
DIFFICULT TO CONTROL IN HIGH WINDS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM TIDE LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOUT 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST FROM MIAMI-DADE COUNTY THROUGH PALM
BEACH COUNTY. SEVERE EROSION WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE PALM BEACH
COUNTY BEACHES...PARTICULARLY FROM LANTANA NORTH TO JUPITER WHERE
EXTREME BEACH EROSION HAS ALREADY OCCURRED. COASTAL FLOODING IS ALSO
EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTHERN PALM BEACH COUNTY COAST...ESPECIALLY
DURING THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE WHICH WILL BE FROM MIDNIGHT TO 3 AM AND
AGAIN FROM 1 PM TO 4 PM THURSDAY.

ALONG THE BROWARD AND MIAMI-DADE COUNTY COASTS...MINOR TO MODERATE
BEACH EROSION WILL CONTINUE ESPECIALLY DURING TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.

...WINDS...
NORTHEAST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE ACROSS METRO AND
COASTAL SECTIONS OF MIAMI-DADE...BROWARD AND PALM BEACH COUNTIES
TONIGHT. THIS WINDS ARE NOT DIRECTLY ASSOCIATED WITH NOEL. OCCASIONAL
GUSTS TO 40 MPH...ESPECIALLY WITH FAST MOVING SQUALLS COMING ASHORE
FROM THE ATLANTIC...WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS, 39 MPH OR HIGHER, ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE
INTO THE OFFSHORE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS BY 3 AM AND CONTINUE
THROUGH MID AFTERNOON THURSDAY.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
FACTORING IN UNCERTAINTIES IN THE FORECAST TRACK, INTENSITY, AND SIZE
OF THE STORM, THERE IS ABOUT A 10 TO 14 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE CONDITIONS, WINDS IN EXCESS OF 39 MPH, ALONG THE
SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COASTLINE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
SINCE MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE WEST SIDE
OF NOEL, 1 TO 2 ADDITIONAL INCHES OF RAIN IS EXPECTED MAINLY ACROSS
THE IMMEDIATE COASTAL LOCATIONS. THEREFORE, NO INLAND FLOODING IS
EXPECTED.

...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY MAINLY
ASSOCIATED WITH SQUALLS MOVING ASHORE FROM THE ATLANTIC.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
WINDS OF 25 TO 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KNOTS WITH SEAS OF 12
TO 15 FEET ARE EXPECTED OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS OF SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA. BECAUSE THE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH NOEL WILL CONTINUE TO
OPPOSE THE GULF STREAM, SEAS OF 12 TO 15 FEET ARE EXPECTED OVER
THE ATLANTIC WATERS. VERY ROUGH SEAS ARE ALSO EXPECTED ACROSS
BISCAYNE BAY AND EXPOSED INTRACOASTAL WATERS. HIGH SURF AND
DANGEROUSLY STRONG RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE COAST.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON TROPICAL STORM NOEL WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
MIAMI WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE AROUND 530 AM EDT.

$$

PFOST

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