[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat Oct 6 04:42:03 CDT 2007


ABNT20 KNHC 060941
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT SAT OCT 6 2007

...CORRECTED FOR MISSING THIRD PARAGRAPH...

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH AND
UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED ABOUT 225 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF
PUERTO RICO.  THIS SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION EARLY
THIS MORNING...HOWEVER...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE GENERALLY
FAVORABLE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT
MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD.

A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...ACCOMPANIED BY LIMITED SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...REMAINS OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA.  SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT DRIFTS TO THE WEST OR SOUTHWEST.

SATELLITE PICTURES INDICATE THAT SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS HAS INCREASED OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF HOURS.  UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER MAINELLI


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