[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat Jun 2 01:36:20 CDT 2007


WTUS82 KTAE 020633
HLSTAE
FLZ017>019-027>029-034-GMZ730-765-021100-

TROPICAL STORM BARRY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
233 AM EDT SAT JUN 2 2007

...TROPICAL STORM BARRY MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST GULF OF
MEXICO TOWARD THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA...
...BARRY FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL LATER TODAY ALONG THE WEST
COAST OF FLORIDA...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE
EASTERN FLORIDA BIG BEND AND NORTH FLORIDA AREAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA
FROM BONITA BEACH NORTHWARD TO KEATON BEACH. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA BIG BEND FROM
NORTH OF KEATON BEACH TO SAINT MARKS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 2 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.6 WEST OR ABOUT 240 MILES
SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF TAMPA FLORIDA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE
CENTER. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 997 MB...OR
29.44 INCHES. BARRY IS NOW IN A RATHER UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONES...AND A GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE NEAR COMPLETION IN THE WARNED AREA...AS WINDY
CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE COASTS OF TAYLOR AND DIXIE
COUNTY BY LATE THIS MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON. LOOSE LAWN
FURNITURE AND GARBAGE CANS SHOULD BE SECURED BEFORE THE ONSET OF
HIGHER WINDS. LISTEN CAREFULLY TO THE ADVICE OF EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT ABOUT PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS IN YOUR AREA.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS OF 2 AM EDT...THE TIDE WAS NEAR NORMAL AT CEDAR KEY AND HALF A
FOOT ABOVE NORMAL AT APALACHICOLA. IF BARRY FOLLOWS THE FORECAST
TRACK AND MAKES LANDFALL NEAR CEDAR KEY...THE WIND ACROSS
APALACHEE BAY WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE NORTHEAST. THIS OFFSHORE
DIRECTION WOULD RESULT IN NO APPRECIABLE RISE IN TIDES ALONG THE
APALACHEE BAY COAST. HOWEVER...THERE IS STILL A CHANCE THAT BARRY COULD
MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE COAST OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND...WHICH
WOULD CAUSE STORM TIDES OF 3 TO 5 FEET NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF
WHERE THE STORM CENTER CROSSES THE COAST. STORM TIDES ARE THE
COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND THE ASTRONOMICAL TIDES. SELECTED
TIMES OF HIGH AND LOW TIDE FOR THE FLORIDA BIG BEND ARE...

SAINT MARKS...HIGH TIDE AT 423 AM EDT SATURDAY...LOW TIDE AT
912 AM EDT SATURDAY...HIGH TIDE AT 301 PM EDT SATURDAY.

STEINHATCHEE RIVER ENTRANCE...HIGH TIDE AT 431 AM EDT SATURDAY...LOW
TIDE AT 939 AM EDT SATURDAY...HIGH TIDE AT 258 PM EDT SATURDAY.

SUWANNEE RIVER ENTRANCE...HIGH TIDE AT 420 AM EDT SATURDAY...LOW
TIDE AT 928 AM EDT SATURDAY...HIGH TIDE AT 247 PM EDT.

...WINDS...
IF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS DO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA...THEY
WILL MOST LIKELY OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF TAYLOR AND
DIXIE COUNTIES. GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE...WHICH CAN KNOCK
DOWN A FEW TREES...LIMBS...AND POWER LINES...AND BLOW AROUND
LOOSE LAWN FURNITURE AND GARBAGE CANS. FURTHER INLAND...GUSTS TO
40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS COULD MAKE
IT TO THE DIXIE AND TAYLOR COUNTY COAST BY EARLY AFTERNOON.

...INLAND FLOODING...
SOME MUCH NEEDED RAIN WILL COME OUT OF THIS STORM...WITH WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS THE EASTERN FLORIDA BIG
BEND AND NORTH FLORIDA AREA...AND ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 4 INCHES
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL LIKELY BE A STEADY SOAKING RAIN AS OPPOSED TO
A SHORT TERM DELUGE...SO WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS
AND CREEKS IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE PROVIDED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN TALLAHASSEE BY 7 AM EDT.

$$







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