[Tropical] Tropical Weather Discussion

[EMWIN Server]

AXNT20 KNHC 050524
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT THU JUL 05 2007

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN
SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE
AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION
IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...
WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...
A 1013 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 11N45W...OR ABOUT 1000 NM
E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 10N TO 11N
BETWEEN 45W-46W. THIS SYSTEM STILL HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO BEFORE
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS BECOME LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 20N58W 6N58W MOVING W 10-15 KT. BROKEN TO
OVERCAST CLOUDS WITH POSSIBLE SHOWERS FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 55W
AND 59W.

...THE ITCZ...
9N13W TO 6N30W 10N44W 9N50W 11N57W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION
ALONG THE ITCZ.

...DISCUSSION...
THE GULF OF MEXICO...
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM CENTRAL MEXICO ACROSS THE WESTERN
GULF OF MEXICO TO AN ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SW LOUISIANA.
STRONG SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE ALONG THE COASTAL WATERS FROM
CENTRAL LOUISIANA TO N OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS. A STATIONARY FRONT
ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA TO A 1014 MB LOW PRES JUST SE OF TAMPA
BAY. A TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE LOW 25N83W TO 26N86W.

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...
MID TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED OVER BELIZE
DRIFTING SLOWLY WWD. A FEW SHOWERS ARE CIRCULATING AROUND THE
LOW OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN AND ALONG THE S COAST OF CUBA. ANOTHER
MID TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS NEAR THE E TIP OF
CUBA AND HAS BECOME MORE ELONGATED IN A SOUTHWEST-TO-NORTHEAST
DIRECTION. THIS CYCLONIC CENTER EXTENDS NE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
BAHAMAS. SCATTERED TSTMS HAVE DEVELOPED INTO THE WINDWARD
PASSAGE. ANOTHER AREA OF SCATTERED TSTMS IS ALONG THE COAST OF
PANAMA AND COSTA RICA.

THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM 31N54W 28N72W 29N80W TO 1014 MB
LOW PRES OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA. SCATTERED TSTMS ARE JUST N OF THE
BAHAMAS...WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG THE FRONT. MID/UPPER LEVEL
OVER THE E TIP OF CUBA WITH TROUGH EXTENDING NE ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN BAHAMAS INTO THE ATLC TO 25N67W. MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL
DRY AIR/SUBSIDENCE IS IN THE ATLC FROM 10N-30N BETWEEN 30W AND
70W. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 22N59W TO AN UPPER LEVEL
ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 28N45W TO 31N42W. MID TO
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS 31N26W TO 24N37W.

$$
DGS

This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net