[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 310930
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT FRI AUG 31 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A WELL-ORGANIZED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL
WAVE...IS CENTERED ABOUT 300 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS AND IS MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.  SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...AND
A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATER THIS MORNING.  REGARDLESS...
AS THE SYSTEM PASSES THROUGH THE WINDWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND
TONIGHT...IT WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...AND
WINDS WITH GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE.  INTERESTS IN THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM.  AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS
SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON.

A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 200 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD...AND IS
EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHEASTWARD LATER TODAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
FRONT.  ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED SOMEWHAT THIS
MORNING...AND THERE IS STILL SOME POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO
BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE BEFORE IT REACHES COOLER WATERS.
REGARDLESS...IT COULD STRENGTHEN AS A NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES NEAR OR OVER THE
CANADIAN MARITIMES.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE...IS
CENTERED ABOUT 250 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS MOSTLY DIMINISHED AND
SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER KNABB

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