[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT44 KNHC 230222
TCDAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEAN DISCUSSION NUMBER  40
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042007
1100 PM EDT WED AUG 22 2007

THE HIGH TERRAIN OF MEXICO HAS TAKEN ITS TOLL ON DEAN. SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS AND SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE CYCLONE IS
RAPIDLY WEAKENING AND IS BECOMING A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 17 KNOTS ACROSS MEXICO
BUT STILL PRODUCING TORRENTIAL RAINS.  ANY REMNANT CIRCULATION OF
THE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY DISSIPATE IN ABOUT 12 HOURS OR SO.

THE MID-LEVEL CENTER APPEARS TO BE MOVING WESTWARD A LITTLE
FASTER...AND WILL CONTINUE TO BE CLOSELY MONITORED IN CASE
REGENERATION OCCURS IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC.

THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ON WHAT WAS ONCE CATEGORY FIVE
HURRICANE DEAN.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      23/0300Z 20.5N 100.0W    30 KT
 12HR VT     23/1200Z 20.5N 103.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 24HR VT     24/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER AVILA



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