[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT44 KNHC 222031
TCDAT4
TROPICAL STORM DEAN DISCUSSION NUMBER  39
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042007
500 PM EDT WED AUG 22 2007

AROUND 1630 UTC...THE CENTER OF DEAN MADE LANDFALL IN MEXICO AS A
CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE NEAR THE TOWN OF TECOLUTLA...ABOUT 40 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TUXPAN MEXICO.

ALTHOUGH DEAN CONTINUES TO GENERATE DEEP CONVECTION...THE OVERALL
CLOUD PATTERN HAS DETERIORATED.  THE INITIAL ADVISORY INTENSITY IS
SET AT 60 KT.  HOWEVER...STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...ARE
LIKELY OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN.  THE INITIAL MOTION IS 270/15.  DEAN
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD AND THE SURFACE
CIRCULATION SHOULD DISSIPATE LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.

THE PRIMARY THREAT IS RAINFALL AND THE POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
AND CENTRAL MEXICO.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      22/2100Z 20.5N  98.1W    60 KT...INLAND
 12HR VT     23/0600Z 20.5N 100.5W    30 KT...INLAND
 24HR VT     23/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI/FRANKLIN

This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net