[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat Aug 18 11:00:47 CDT 2007


WTCA82 TJSJ 181558
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-AMZ710>750-182115-

BULLETIN-
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1155 AM AST SAT AUG 18 2007

 ...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND
PUERTO RICO HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE DEAN THREATENS HAITI...JAMAICA...CAYMAN ISLANDS...HEAVY
SQUALLS APPROACHING HISPANIOLA. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. THE MAIN
LOCAL IMPACTS WILL CONTINUE TO BE HEAVY RAINS...FLASH FLOODING
...GUSTY WINDS AND HIGH SURF AND BEACH EROSION.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOCAL ATLANTIC AND
CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS INCLUDING ALL PASSAGES.  A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SAINT CROIX AND PORTIONS OF PUERTO
RICO THROUGH THIS EVENING. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH AND
EAST COAST OF PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA AND ALL OF THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 1100 AM AST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.6 WEST...OR ABOUT 285 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF SAINT CROIX...300 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ST THOMAS...250
MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN...AND 205 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PONCE...OR
ABOUT 180 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CABO ROJO.  DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE
WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. A TRACK BETWEEN THE WEST AND WEST
NORTHWEST IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS REMAIN NEAR 150 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN
INTENSITY ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
HURRICANE DEAN IS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST WELL SOUTH OF THE MONA
PASSAGE. ITS MOST SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE LOCAL
CARIBBEAN WATERS SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO RICO. FOR LAND AREAS THE
PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE HEAVY RAINS...GUSTY WINDS AND FLASH
FLOODING. MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND
SEAS SUBSIDE MANLY ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN AND MONA PASSAGE WATERS.
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD NOT VENTURE FAR FROM PORT ALONG THE ATLANTIC
WATERS.

...WINDS...
WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAY OCCUR OVER PARTS OF
PUERTO RICO AND SAINT CROIX THIS AFTERNOON. PLEASE REFER TO WIND
ADVISORY TO BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN SAN
JUAN FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.

WIND GUSTS SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS SAINT
CROIX AND ITS SURROUNDING WATERS...THEN BY EVENING ACROSS PUERTO
RICO AND THE REMAINING CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
SEAS WILL CONTINUE AT 14 TO 19 FEET ACROSS THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN
WATERS AND UP TO 10 FEET ACROSS THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. DUE TO
THESE DANGEROUS MARINE CONDITIONS...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN
PORT ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN WATERS AND MONA PASSAGE THROUGH TONIGHT.
IN ADDITION...ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY ALONG
THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS IN ASSOCIATION WITH SQUALLS IN THE OUTER
FRINGES OF THE STORM. THE LARGE BREAKING WAVES WILL GENERATE VERY
STRONG AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WITHIN THE SURF ZONE. PERSONS
ALONG THE EAST AND SOUTH EXPOSED COASTAL AREAS SHOULD REMAIN OUT OF
THIS DANGEROUS SURF. PLEASE REFER TO THE COASTAL WATERS FORECASTS
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.


...INLAND FLOODING...
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
NORTHEASTERN FRINGES OF DEAN ARE STILL AFFECTING INLAND PUERTO RICO
AND SOUTHWEST SAINT CROIX. AS THE HURRICANE CONTINUES TO MOVE ON A
MORE WEST NORTHWEST TRACK IT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH MORE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH ITS TAIL TOWARDS THE SAINT CROIX AND
PUERTO RICO. LOCAL EFFECTS COULD ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE INLAND WEST AND INTERIOR SECTION OF PUERTO RICO.
FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL REMAINS HIGH AND LANDSLIDES OR MUDSLIDES COULD
OCCUR OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS WILL BE THE LAST SCHEDULED HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT TO BE
ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN SAN JUAN
PUERTO RICO. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON DEAN PLEASE REFER TO
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER BULLETINS.

$$

RM


















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