[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTCA82 TJSJ 181316
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-AMZ710>750-181615-

BULLETIN-
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
920 AM AST SAT AUG 18 2007

...CORE OF DEAN PASSES WELL SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO...
...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...

...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE DEAN STILL HAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 150 MPH...AND A
CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 930 MB. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE HURRICANE. THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO WILL LIKELY BE
DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...THE CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS AND THE MONA
PASSAGE. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE LOCAL
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
THE SAINT CROIX AND PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 800 AM AST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.9 WEST...OR ABOUT 255 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF SAINT CROIX...280 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ST THOMAS...240
MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN...AND 195 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
PONCE. DEAN WAS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH. A GENERAL WEST
TO WEST NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 150 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS OR LESS.

THE CORE OF HURRICANE DEAN WILL CONTINUE MOVING WELL SOUTHWEST OF
PUERTO RICO DURING THIS MORNING. LOCAL INTERESTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE STORM SINCE A GENERAL WEST NORTHWEST
MOTION IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO PULL OUTER
RAINBANDS TOWARDS SAINT CROIX AND PUERTO RICO.

STRONG WINDS AND OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE WILL
CONTINUE TO IMPACT MARINE INTERESTS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MONA PASSAGE
AND LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS...WITH VERY HIGH SURF ALONG THE CARIBBEAN
COASTLINES. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN
WATERS AND MONA PASSAGE AND ARE URGED TO NOT VENTURE FAR FROM PORT
INTO THE ATLANTIC WATERS.

LATEST WIND RECORDINGS FROM THE NOAA CREW STATION IN SALT RIVER BAY
SAINT CROIX AT 8 AM THIS MORNING STILL INDICATED WIND GUSTS TO 40
MPH. OCCASIONAL TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS COULD HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO DOWN MORE POWER LINES AND SMALL TREES ACROSS
SOUTHERN...INTERIOR AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND SAINT
CROIX DURING THIS MORNING.

...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES FROM THE
CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN THE 39 TO 45
MPH...34 TO 40 KNOT RANGE WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE AFFECTING THE MONA PASSAGE...THE CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO
RICO AND NEAR SAINT CROIX DURING THE REMAINDER OF THIS MORNING.

FOR THE LAND AREAS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...
OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE STRENGTH REMAIN
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY OVER INLAND SAINT CROIX AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN
HALF OF PUERTO RICO AND ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SHOULD SLOWLY DIMINISH THIS MORNING
ACROSS SAINT CROIX AND ITS SURROUNDING WATERS...THEN BY MIDDAY
SATURDAY ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE REMAINING CARIBBEAN COASTAL
WATERS.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
SEAS HAVE REACHED 14 TO 19 FEET ACROSS THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS
AND UP TO 10 FEET ACROSS THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. DUE TO THESE
DANGEROUS MARINE CONDITIONS...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT
ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN WATERS AND MONA PASSAGE THROUGH TONIGHT. IN
ADDITION...ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY ALONG THE
LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS IN ASSOCIATION WITH SQUALLS IN THE OUTER
FRINGES OF THE STORM.

...INLAND FLOODING...
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED
WITH THE NORTHEASTERN FRINGES OF DEAN ARE STILL OCCURRING ALONG THE
SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND TO THE SOUTHWEST OF
SAINT CROIX. AS THE HURRICANE MOVES MORE ON A WEST NORTHWEST TRACK
IT WILL CONTINUE TO DRAW MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TOWARDS THE
SOUTH...WEST AND INLAND SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. LOCAL EFFECTS COULD
ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLASH
FLOODS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. FOR SAINT CROIX THERE
IS POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AS THE
NORTHEASTERN FRINGES AND THE TAIL OF DEAN CONTINUES TO PUSH MOISTURE
TOWARDS THE VIRGIN ISLANDS TERRITORY.  RAINFALL TOTALS OF ONE TO TWO
INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY ALTHOUGH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE INLAND WEST AND INTERIOR
SECTION OF PUERTO RICO THIS AFTERNOON.

...HIGH SURF AND COASTAL FLOODING...
HIGH WAVES CREATED BY THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MOVING THROUGH
THE AREA AREA ALREADY AFFECTING THE LOCAL COAST LINES...WITH WAVES
OF UP TO 12 FEET ALONG THE EAST AND SOUTH COASTS. SWELLS WILL
CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE AREA WATERS THIS MORNING...RESULTING IN
BREAKING WAVES UP TO 19 FEET ALONG THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN REEFS AND
COASTLINES. THESE LARGE BREAKING WAVES WILL GENERATE VERY STRONG AND
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WITHIN THE SURF ZONE. PERSONS ALONG THE EAST
AND SOUTH EXPOSED COASTAL AREAS SHOULD REMAIN OUT OF THIS DANGEROUS
SURF.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 1215 PM AST
THIS AFTERNOON BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.

$$

RAM/BCS















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