[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTCA82 TJSJ 181001
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-AMZ710>750-181315-

BULLETIN-
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
600 AM AST SAT AUG 18 2007

...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR DEAN CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD
WELL SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO...
...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...

...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE DEAN STILL HAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 150 MPH...AND A
CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 930 MB. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED INVESTIGATE DEAN IN A FEW HOURS. THE  TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO WILL
LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED THIS MORNING.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...THE CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS AND THE MONA
PASSAGE. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE LOCAL
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 500 AM AST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.3 WEST...OR ABOUT 240 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF ST CROIX...270 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ST THOMAS...240 MILES
SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN...AND 200 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
PONCE. DEAN WAS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH. A GENERAL WEST
TO WEST NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 150 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS OR LESS.

THE CORE OF HURRICANE DEAN WILL CONTINUE MOVING WELL SOUTH SOUTHWEST
OF PUERTO RICO DURING THIS MORNING. LOCAL INTERESTS SHOULD CONTINUE
TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE STORM SINCE THE FORECAST TRACK IS
EXPECTED TO TAKE THE CENTER ON A MORE WEST NORTHWEST COURSE AND THIS
WILL HAVE THE EFFECT OF KEEPING THE LOCAL AREA UNDER OCCASIONAL
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS MAINLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND WEST
HALF OF PUERTO RICO. THE RAINBANDS OF MODERATE TO STRONG INTENSITY
LOCATED ALONG THE NORTHERN FRINGES OF THE STORM ARE STEADILY
APPROACHING THE SOUTH COAST OF PUERTO RICO.

THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MARINE INTERESTS ACROSS
THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS AND PASSAGES...WITH VERY HIGH SURF ALONG
THE CARIBBEAN COASTLINES. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT ACROSS
THE CARIBBEAN WATERS AND MONA PASSAGE AND ARE URGED TO NOT VENTURE
FAR FROM PORT INTO THE ATLANTIC WATERS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS TO 39 MPH WERE RECORDED BY THE NOAA
CREW STATION IN SALT RIVER BAY ON SAINT CROIX AT 5 AM THIS MORNING.
ADDITIONAL TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
DOWN MORE POWER LINES AND TREES ACROSS SOUTHERN...INTERIOR AND
WESTERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND SAINT CROIX DURING THIS MORNING.

...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES FROM THE
CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN THE 39 TO 45
MPH...34 TO 40 KNOT RANGE WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE AFFECTING THE MONA PASSAGE...THE CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO
RICO AND NEAR SAINT CROIX DURING THIS MORNING.

FOR THE LAND AREAS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...
OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE STRENGTH REMAIN
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY OVER INLAND SAINT CROIX AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN
HALF OF PUERTO RICO AND ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SHOULD SLOWLY DIMINISH THIS MORNING
ACROSS SAINT CROIX AND ITS SURROUNDING WATERS...THEN BY MIDDAY
SATURDAY ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE REMAINING CARIBBEAN COASTAL
WATERS.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
SEAS HAVE REACHED 14 TO 19 FEET ACROSS THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS
AND UP TO 10 FEET ACROSS THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. DUE TO THESE
DANGEROUS MARINE CONDITIONS...SMALL CRAFTS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT
ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN WATERS AND MONA PASSAGE THROUGH SATURDAY. IN
ADDITION...ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY ALONG THE
LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS IN ASSOCIATION WITH SQUALLS IN THE NORTHERN
FRINGES OF THE STORM.

...INLAND FLOODING...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
NORTHERN FRINGES OF DEAN ARE STILL OCCURRING ALONG THE NORTH HALF OF
PUERTO RICO. JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE ISLAND MORE SOLID BANDS OF
MODERATE TO STRONG RAIN WERE MOVING CLOSER. AS THE STORM PROGRESSES
ALONG ITS FORECAST TRACK WE WILL SEE SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
INCREASING ACROSS THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST COASTAL AREAS AND INLAND
SECTORS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLASH
FLOODS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. FOR SAINT CROIX THERE IS POTENTIAL
FOR SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AS THE NORTHEASTERN
FRINGES AND THE TAIL OF DEAN CONTINUE TO PUSH MOISTURE TOWARDS THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS TERRITORY.  RAINFALL TOTALS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY ALTHOUGH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE INLAND WEST AND INTERIOR SECTION OF
PUERTO RICO THIS AFTERNOON.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
ALTHOUGH NO SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED WITH DEAN...WAVE
RUN-UP ALONG THE SOUTH AND EAST COASTS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS SHOULD
RESULT IN TIDES OF ONE TO TWO FOOT ABOVE PREDICTED. THE NEXT HIGH
TIDE AT ST CROIX WILL OCCUR AT 702 PM AST TONIGHT AND THE NEXT HIGH
TIDE FOR PLAYA DE PONCE WILL OCCUR AT 600 PM AST THIS EVENING.

...HIGH SURF AND COASTAL FLOODING...
HIGH WAVES CREATED BY THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MOVING THROUGH
THE AREA AREA ALREADY AFFECTING THE LOCAL COAST LINES...WITH WAVES
OF UP TO 12 FEET ALONG THE EAST AND SOUTH COASTS. LARGE HURRICANE
SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO TO INVADE THE AREA WATERS THIS MORNING
...RESULTING IN BREAKING WAVES UP TO 19 FEET ALONG THE LOCAL
CARIBBEAN REEFS AND COASTLINES OVERNIGHT. THESE LARGE BREAKING WAVES
WILL GENERATE VERY STRONG AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WITHIN THE SURF
ZONE. PERSONS ALONG THE EAST AND SOUTH EXPOSED COASTAL AREAS SHOULD
REMAIN OUT OF THIS DANGEROUS SURF.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 915 AM AST THIS
MORNING BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN SAN JUAN
PUERTO RICO.

$$

RM













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