[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTCA82 TJSJ 180320 CCA
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-AMZ710>750-180715-

BULLETIN-
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1120 PM AST FRI AUG 17 2007

...CATEGORY FOUR DEAN INTENSIFYING OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...
...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...

...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE DEAN NOW HAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 145 MPH...AND A
CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 937 MB.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. AND SPANISH
VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...THE CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS AND THE
MONA PASSAGE. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE
LOCAL ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 1100 PM AST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.9 WEST...OR ABOUT 205 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ST CROIX...240 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ST
THOMAS...240 MILES SOUTH OF SAN JUAN...AND 220 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
OF PONCE. DEAN WAS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...WITH A
GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD MOMENTUM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
INCREASED TO 145 MPH...WITH OCCASIONALLY HIGHER GUSTS. DEAN IS A
MAJOR CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS OR LESS.

THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WILL CONTINUE TO PASS SOUTH OF PUERTO
RICO OVERNIGHT. LOCAL INTERESTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS
STORM CLOSELY...AS ANY DEVIATION TO THE NORTH OR A CONTINUED
INCREASE IN INTENSITY...WILL RESULT IN STRONGER WINDS AND INCREASED
RAINFALL ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA.

THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT MARINE INTERESTS ACROSS
THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS AND PASSAGES...WITH VERY HIGH SURF ALONG
THE CARIBBEAN COASTLINES. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT ACROSS
THE CARIBBEAN WATERS AND ARE URGED TO NOT VENTURE FAR FROM PORT INTO
THE ATLANTIC WATERS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS HAVE ALREADY BEEN REPORTED...WITH
THE CONFIRMATION OF DOWNED POWER LINES AND TREES ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN
PUERTO RICO EARLIER THIS EVENING. ADDITIONAL TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WIND GUSTS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO DOWN MORE POWER LINES AND TREES
ACROSS SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO AND POSSIBLY ST CROIX THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS.

...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES MILES FROM
THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN THE 39
TO 45 MPH...34 TO 40 KNOT RANGE...ARE CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE
CARIBBEAN WATERS AND THE ISLAND OF ST CROIX...AND WILL CONTINUE TO
SPREAD RAPIDLY WESTWARD ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN WATERS SOUTH OF PUERTO
RICO OVERNIGHT.

FOR THE LAND AREAS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...
OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE STRENGTH REMAIN
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY WITH PASSING SQUALLS...AND ACROSS HIGHER
TERRAIN.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SHOULD SLOWLY DIMINISH OVERNIGHT ACROSS
ST CROIX AND ITS SURROUNDING WATERS...THEN BY MIDDAY SATURDAY ACROSS
PUERTO RICO AND THE REMAINING CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD RAPIDLY ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS THIS
EVENING...EVENTUALLY REACHING 14 TO 19 FEET ACROSS THE LOCAL
CARIBBEAN WATERS AND UP TO 10 FEET ACROSS THE ATLANTIC COASTAL
WATERS. DUE TO THESE DANGEROUS MARINE CONDITIONS...SMALL CRAFTS
SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN WATERS THROUGH SATURDAY.
IN ADDITION...ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY ALONG
THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS IN ASSOCIATION WITH SQUALLS.

...INLAND FLOODING...
FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING. OUTER RAINBANDS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE
DEAN WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE U.S. AND SPANISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
THIS EVENING...AND LATER SPREAD ACROSS PUERTO RICO OVERNIGHT.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
OF UP TO FIVE INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
ALTHOUGH NO SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED WITH DEAN...WAVE
RUN-UP ALONG THE SOUTH AND EAST COASTS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS SHOULD
RESULT IN TIDES OF ONE TO TWO FOOT ABOVE PREDICTED. THE NEXT HIGH
TIDE AT ST CROIX WILL OCCUR AT 702 PM AST SATURDAY AND THE NEXT HIGH
TIDE FOR PLAYA DE PONCE WILL OCCUR AT 600 PM AST SATURDAY.

...HIGH SURF AND COASTAL FLOODING...
HIGH WAVES CREATED FROM THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MOVING
THROUGH THE AREA HAVE ALREADY BEGUN TO AFFECT THE LOCAL COAST
LINES...WITH WAVES OF 8 TO 12 FEET ALONG THE EAST AND SOUTH COASTS.
EXPECT INCREASINGLY LARGE HURRICANE SWELLS TO INVADE THE AREA WATERS
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS...RESULTING IN BREAKING WAVES UP TO 19
FEET ALONG THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN REEFS AND COASTLINES OVERNIGHT. THESE
LARGE BREAKING WAVES WILL GENERATE VERY STRONG AND DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS WITHIN THE SURF ZONE. PERSONS ALONG THE EAST AND SOUTH
EXPOSED COASTAL AREAS SHOULD REMAIN OUT OF THIS DANGEROUS SURF.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 315 AM AST
SATURDAY MORNING BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.

$$

SR









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