[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTCA82 TJSJ 171559
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-AMZ710>750-171900-

BULLETIN-
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1159 AM AST FRI AUG 17 2007

...DEAN MOVING AWAY FROM THE LESSER ANTILLES AND STRENGTHENING...
...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...

...NEW INFORMATION...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS AND
VISITORS IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...THE CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS AND THE MONA
PASSAGE.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 AM AST...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.6 WEST...OR ABOUT 255 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
ST CROIX...300 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ST THOMAS...350 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
SAN JUAN...AND 350 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PONCE. DEAN WAS MOVING TOWARD
THE WEST NEAR 21 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR
105 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DEAN IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS AND DEAN IS FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS OR LESS. RESIDENTS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD HAVE ALREADY COMPLETED PREPARATIONS
FOR HURRICANE DEAN.

THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN IS FORECAST TO PASS SOUTH OF ST CROIX
AND PUERTO RICO LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.
HOWEVER...ALL LOCAL INTERESTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS
CLOSELY...AS ANY DEVIATION TO THE NORTH OR CONTINUED INCREASE IN
INTENSITY...COULD RESULT IN STRONGER WINDS ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA.

THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT MARINE INTERESTS ACROSS
THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN...WITH HIGH SEAS EXPECTED ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN
COASTAL WATERS AND PASSAGES...AND VERY HIGH SURF ALONG THE CARIBBEAN
COASTS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN AND
ARE URGED TO NOT VENTURE FAR FROM PORT ACROSS THE ATLANTIC.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS COULD BE STRONG ENOUGH TO BLOW DOWN
SOME SMALL TREES AND POWER LINES...MAINLY OVER ST CROIX AND THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF PUERTO RICO. MARINERS IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
AREA SHOULD HAVE ALREADY SECURED THEIR VESSELS OR MOVED THEM TO SAFE
HARBOR ALONG THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS.

...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN THE 39 TO 45 MPH...34 TO 40 KNOTS...
RANGE WILL BEGIN ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN WATERS SOUTHEAST OF ST CROIX
AROUND NOON...AND THEN SPREAD RAPIDLY WESTWARD TO THE CARIBBEAN
WATERS SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

FOR THE LAND AREAS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO
OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE...
ESPECIALLY WITH PASSING SQUALLS...AND ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SHOULD START TO DIMINISH OVERNIGHT ACROSS
ST CROIX AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA TO ITS SOUTH...AND BY NOON ON
SATURDAY ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE REMAINING CARIBBEAN COASTAL
WATERS.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
SEAS WILL BUILD RAPIDLY ACROSS THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS THIS
AFTERNOON...REACHING 14 TO 18 FEET ACROSS THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS
AND UP TO 10 FEET ACROSS THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. SMALL CRAFT
SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN THROUGH SATURDAY.
ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY ALONG THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN
WATERS IN ASSOCIATION WITH RAINBANDS AND SQUALLS THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...AND COULD MOVE ASHORE ALONG THE COASTS.

...INLAND FLOODING...
FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING. RAINBANDS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
NORTHWESTERN FRINGES OF HURRICANE DEAN SHOULD BEGIN THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND OVER VIEQUES...CULEBRA AND THE
EASTERN HALF OF PUERTO RICO. RAINFALL TOTALS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS OF UP TO FIVE INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
ALTHOUGH NO SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED WITH DEAN...WAVE
RUN-UP ALONG THE SOUTH AND EAST COASTS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS SHOULD
RESULT IN TIDES OF ONE TO TWO FOOT ABOVE PREDICTED. THE NEXT HIGH
TIDE AT ST CROIX WILL OCCUR AT 813 PM TONIGHT AND THE NEXT HIGH TIDE
FOR PLAYA DE PONCE WILL OCCUR AT 715 PM.

...HIGH SURF AND COASTAL FLOODING...
HIGH WAVES CREATED FROM THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS THAT WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE AREA WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE LOCAL COAST LINES
THIS AFTERNOON...WITH WAVES OF 6 TO 8 FEET ALONG THE EAST AND SOUTH
COASTS. HOWEVER...LARGE HURRICANE SWELLS WILL BEGIN TO INVADE THE
AREA WATERS BEFORE SUNSET...AND PRODUCE VERY LARGE BREAKING WAVES OF
10 TO 18 FEET OVERNIGHT ALONG THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN REEFS AND
COASTLINES. THESE LARGE BREAKING WAVES WILL GENERATE VERY STRONG AND
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WITHIN THE SURF ZONE. PERSONS ALONG THE EAST
AND SOUTH EXPOSED COASTAL AREAS SHOULD REMAIN OUT OF THIS DANGEROUS
SURF.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 300 PM AST THIS
AFTERNOON BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN SAN
JUAN PUERTO RICO.

$$

BCS

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