[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTCA82 TJSJ 171030
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-AMZ710>750-171300-

BULLETIN-
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
600 AM AST FRI AUG 17 2007

...CENTER OF DEAN PASSING BETWEEN MARTINIQUE AND ST. LUCIA...MOVING
RAPIDLY WESTWARD...AND ENTERING THE CARIBBEAN...
...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM WARNING DISCONTINUED FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF
PUERTO RICO AND THE NORTHERN U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...THE CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS AND THE MONA
PASSAGE. A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH AND A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAIN IN
EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH AND EAST COASTS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND PUERTO RICO.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 AM AST...HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH
LONGITUDE 60.9 WEST...AROUND 340 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAINT
CROIX...380 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ST THOMAS...440 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
SAN JUAN AND AROUND 455 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PONCE. DEAN WAS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 24 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR
100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS OR LESS. RESIDENTS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD HAVE ALREADY COMPLETED PREPARATIONS
FOR HURRICANE DEAN.

THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN IS FORECAST TO PASS SOUTH OF SAINT
CROIX AND PUERTO RICO LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING. HOWEVER...ALL LOCAL INTERESTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR
THIS CLOSELY AS ANY DEVIATION TO THE NORTH OR INCREASE IN INTENSITY
COULD RESULT IN STRONGER WINDS ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA.

THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT MARINE INTERESTS ACROSS
THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN...WITH HIGH SEAS EXPECTED ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN
COASTAL WATERS AND PASSAGES...AND VERY HIGH SURF ALONG THE CARIBBEAN
COASTS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS COULD BE STRONG ENOUGH TO BLOW DOWN
POWER LINES...MAINLY OVER SAINT CROIX AND THE SOUTHERN HALF OF
PUERTO RICO. MARINERS IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA SHOULD ARE
URGED TO SECURE THEIR VESSELS OR MOVE THEM TO SAFE HARBOR ALONG THE
LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS.

...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN THE 39 TO 45 MPH...34 TO 40 KNOTS...
RANGE ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN WATERS SOUTHEAST OF
SAINT CROIX AROUND NOON TODAY THEN SPREAD RAPIDLY WESTWARD TO THE
CARIBBEAN WATERS SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

FOR THE LAND AREAS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO
OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE...
ESPECIALLY WITH PASSING SQUALLS...AND ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SHOULD START TO DIMINISH OVERNIGHT ACROSS
ST CROIX AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA TO ITS SOUTH...AND BY NOON ON
SATURDAY ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE REMAINING CARIBBEAN COASTAL
WATERS.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
SEAS WILL BUILD RAPIDLY ACROSS THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS THIS
AFTERNOON...REACHING 14 TO 18 FEET ACROSS THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS
AND UP TO 10 FEET ACROSS THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. SMALL CRAFT
SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN THROUGH SATURDAY. PERSONS
ALONG THE EAST AND SOUTH EXPOSED COASTAL AREAS SHOULD REMAIN OUT OF
THE DANGEROUS SURF. ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY ALONG
THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS IN ASSOCIATION WITH RAINBANDS AND SQUALLS
THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...AND COULD MOVE ASHORE
ALONG THE COASTS.

...INLAND FLOODING...
FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING. RAINBANDS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
NORTHWESTERN FRINGES OF HURRICANE DEAN SHOULD BEGIN THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND OVER VIEQUES...CULEBRA AND THE
EASTERN HALF OF PUERTO RICO. RAINFALL TOTALS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS OF UP TO FIVE INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
ALTHOUGH NO SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED WITH DEAN...WAVE
RUNUP ALONG THE SOUTH AND EAST COASTS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS SHOULD
RESULT IN TIDES OF ONE TO TWO FOOT ABOVE PREDICTED. THE NEXT HIGH
TIDES AT ST CROIX IS AT 1114 AM AND AT 813PM. THE NEXT HIGH TIDES
FOR PLAYA DE PONCE 715 PM.

...SURF CONDITIONS...
HIGH WAVES CREATED FROM THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS THAT WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE AREA WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE LOCAL COAST LINES
THIS AFTERNOON...WITH WAVES OF 6 TO 8 FEET ALONG THE EAST AND SOUTH
COASTS. HOWEVER...LARGE HURRICANE SWELLS WILL BEGIN TO INVADE THE
AREA WATERS BEFORE SUNSET...AND PRODUCE VERY LARGE BREAKING WAVES OF
10 TO 18 FEET OVERNIGHT ALONG THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN REEFS AND
COASTLINES. THESE LARGE BREAKING WAVES WILL GENERATE VERY STRONG AND
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WITHIN THE SURF ZONE.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 900 AM AST
FRIDAY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN SAN JUAN
PUERTO RICO.

$$

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