[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTCA82 TJSJ 170715
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-AMZ710>750-171000-

BULLETIN-
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
300 AM AST FRI AUG 17 2007

...CENTER OF DEAN TO PASS NEAR MARTINIQUE AND ST. LUCIA DURING THE
NEXT FEW HOURS...MOVING RAPIDLY WESTWARD...
...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...

...NEW INFORMATION...
AT 2 AM...MAXIMUM SEAS OF 14 TO 18 FEET EXPECTED ACROSS THE LOCAL
CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS FRIDAY EVENING AND NIGHT.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
AT 2 AM A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO. A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH AND A HIGH
SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH AND EAST COASTS OF THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND PUERTO RICO.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 2 AM AST...HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH
LONGITUDE 59.8 WEST...AROUND 465 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAINT
CROIX...510 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ST THOMAS...570 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
SAN JUAN AND AROUND 590 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PONCE. DEAN WAS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 25 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR
100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS OR LESS. RESIDENTS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD RUSH TO FINALIZE PREPARATIONS FOR
DEAN BY FRIDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
BEGIN AFFECTING THE LOCAL AREA AROUND MID DAY FRIDAY AND LAST
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT
MARINE INTERESTS ACROSS THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN...WITH HIGH SEAS
EXPECTED ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS AND PASSAGES...AND VERY
HIGH SURF ALONG THE CARIBBEAN COASTS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN
PORT.

...WINDS...
BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS IN THE 39 TO 45 MPH RANGE ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN ACROSS THE
CARIBBEAN WATERS SOUTHEAST OF SAINT CROIX AROUND MID DAY FRIDAY. AS
DEAN CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS WILL RAPIDLY SPREAD TO THE CARIBBEAN WATERS JUST
SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO BY LATE AFTERNOON FRIDAY. BY LATE FRIDAY NIGHT
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE SAINT CROIX CARIBBEAN WATERS
SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH AND BY MID MORNING SATURDAY ACROSS SOUTHERN
PUERTO RICO WATERS. FOR THE LAND AREAS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY WITH PASSING SQUALLS AND OVER HIGHER TERRAIN.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS COULD BE STRONG ENOUGH TO BLOW DOWN
POWER LINES MAINLY OVER SAINT CROIX AND THE SOUTHERN HALF OF PUERTO
RICO. WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN
IS FORECAST TO REMAIN SOUTH OF SAINT CROIX AND PUERTO RICO FRIDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...ALL LOCAL INTERESTS
SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS CLOSELY AS ANY DEVIATION TO THE
NORTH OR INCREASE IN INTENSITY COULD RESULT IN STRONGER WINDS TO THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.

...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINBANDS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTHWESTERN FRINGES
OF HURRICANE DEAN SHOULD BEGIN DURING THE AFTERNOON FRIDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND OVER
VIEQUES...CULEBRA AND THE EASTERN HALF OF PUERTO RICO. LOCALIZED
HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE AS THE CENTER OF DEAN PASSES SOUTH OF THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO ON ITS FORECAST TRACK FRIDAY
NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF ONE TO TO INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF UP TO FIVE INCHES POSSIBLE IN THE INTERIOR
SECTORS. FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
WINDS ACROSS THE OFFSHORE SAINT CROIX WATERS WILL BE REACHING
TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH 34 TO 40 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS AROUND MID
DAY FRIDAY CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. ALONG THE SOUTHERN
PUERTO RICO WATERS TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 40 KNOTS WITH
HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED BY LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING. AS HURRICANE DEAN PASSES SOUTH OF THE AREA FRIDAY AFTERNOON
SEAS WILL BUILD RAPIDLY...REACHING 14 TO 18 FEET ACROSS THE LOCAL
CARIBBEAN WATERS...AND TO 10 FEET ACROSS THE ATLANTIC COASTAL
WATERS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT THROUGH SATURDAY.
MARINERS IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA ARE URGED TO SECURE
THEIR VESSELS OR MOVE THEM TO SAFE HARBOR ESPECIALLY ALONG THE LOCAL
CARIBBEAN WATERS. ROUGH MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BY LATE
FRIDAY MORNING...AND WILL DETERIORATE THROUGH SATURDAY. PERSONS
ALONG THE EAST AND SOUTH EXPOSED COASTAL AREAS SHOULD REMAIN OUT OF
THE DANGEROUS SURF.

...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY ALONG THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN
WATERS IN ASSOCIATION WITH RAINBANDS AND SQUALLS FRIDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...AND COULD MOVE ASHORE ALONG THE COASTS.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 600 AM AST
FRIDAY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN SAN JUAN
PUERTO RICO.

$$


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