[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTCA82 TJSJ 170400
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-AMZ710>750-1700700-

BULLETIN-
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1150 PM AST THU AUG 16 2007

...DEAN APPROACHING THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...MOVING RAPIDLY
WESTWARD...
...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...

...NEW INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND
PUERTO RICO HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO EXTEND 160 MILES FROM THE CENTER
BY FRIDAY EVENING.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
AT 11 PM A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO. A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH AND A HIGH SURF
ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH AND EAST COASTS OF THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND PUERTO RICO.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 1100 PM AST...HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1
NORTH  ...LONGITUDE 58.7 WEST...OR ABOUT 465 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
SAINT CROIX OR ABOUT 510 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ST THOMAS OR ABOUT 580
MILES  SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN OR ABOUT 585 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PONCE.
DEAN WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT NEAR 25 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
REMAIN NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS OR LESS. RESIDENTS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD CONTINUE TO MAKE PREPARATIONS FOR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS BEGINNING AROUND MID DAY FRIDAY AND
LASTING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THIS EVENT WILL IMPACT MARINE
INTERESTS SIGNIFICANTLY AS STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS AND HIGH SURF WILL
AFFECT THE COASTAL AREAS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

...WINDS...
WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS IN THE 39 TO 45 MPH RANGE ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN ACROSS THE
CARIBBEAN WATERS SOUTHEAST OF SAINT CROIX AROUND MID DAY FRIDAY. AS
DEAN CONTINUES MOVING WEST INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN FRIDAY...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL RAPIDLY SPREAD TO THE CARIBBEAN
WATERS JUST SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO BY LATE AFTERNOON FRIDAY. BY LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE SAINT CROIX
CARIBBEAN WATERS SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH AND BY MID MORNING
SATURDAY ACROSS SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO WATERS. FOR THE LAND AREAS OF
THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS TO
TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY WITH PASSING SQUALLS
AND OVER HIGHER TERRAIN. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS COULD BE
STRONG ENOUGH TO BLOW DOWN POWER LINES MAINLY OVER SAINT CROIX AND
THE SOUTHERN HALF OF PUERTO RICO. WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN IS FORECAST TO REMAIN SOUTH OF
SAINT CROIX AND PUERTO RICO FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING. HOWEVER...ALL LOCAL INTERESTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR
THIS CLOSELY AS ANY DEVIATION TO THE NORTH OR INCREASE IN INTENSITY
COULD RESULT IN STRONGER WINDS TO THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO
RICO.

...INLAND FLOODING...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTHWESTERN FRINGES
OF HURRICANE DEAN SHOULD BEGIN AFTER MID DAY FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND OVER VIEQUES...CULEBRA AND
THE EASTERN HALF OF PUERTO RICO. LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL IS
POSSIBLE AS THE CENTER OF DEAN PASSES SOUTH OF THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO ON ITS FORECAST TRACK FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF ONE TO TO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE AREA LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
OF FIVE INCHES IN THE INTERIOR SECTORS. FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES
ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
WINDS ACROSS THE OFFSHORE SAINT CROIX WATERS WILL BE REACHING
TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH 34 TO 40 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS AROUND MID
DAY FRIDAY CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. ALONG THE SOUTHERN
PUERTO RICO WATERS TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 40 KNOTS WITH
HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED BY LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING. AN EXPANSION OF THE WIND FIELD IS EXPECTED WHEN THE STORM
IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING. SEAS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN
WATERS AND ATLANTIC WATERS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND WILL LIKELY REACH 10
TO 13 FEET AS HURRICANE DEAN PASSES. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN
PORT THROUGH SATURDAY.  MARINERS IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA
ARE URGED TO SECURE THEIR VESSELS OR MOVE THEM TO SAFE HARBOR
ESPECIALLY ALONG THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS. ROUGH SEA CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY...PERSONS ALONG THE
EAST AND SOUTH EXPOSED COASTAL AREA SHOULD STAY AWAY FROM THE
SURF.

...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY ALONG THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN
WATERS IN ASSOCIATION WITH SQUALLS FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 300 AM AST
FRIDAY BY YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST IN SAN JUAN.

RM












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