[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTCA82 TJSJ 170101
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-AMZ710>750-170400-

BULLETIN-
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
900 PM AST THU AUG 16 2007

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...

...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE DEAN IS RAPIDLY APPROACHING THE LESSER ANTILLES. DEAN WILL
UNDERGO SOME STRENGTHENING AS IT ENTERS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN FRIDAY
MORNING. THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND RADIUS POSES A POTENTIAL
CONCERN TO THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO FRIDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO. A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH AND A HIGH SURF ADVISORY
REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH AND EAST COASTS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS... CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND PUERTO RICO.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 800 PM AST...HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH
...LONGITUDE 57.8 WEST...OR ABOUT 520 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAINT CROIX
OR ABOUT 560 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ST THOMAS OR ABOUT 635 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN. DEAN WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT NEAR 23 MPH...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA IN 36 HOURS OR LESS. RESIDENTS OF THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MAKE PREPARATIONS FOR
POSSIBLE TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS BEGINNING FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND
LASTING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THIS EVENT WILL IMPACT MARINE
INTERESTS SIGNIFICANTLY AS STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS AND HIGH SURF WILL
AFFECT THE COASTAL AREAS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD NOT VENTURE FAR FROM
PORT.

...WINDS...
THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN
WATERS FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY AS DEAN PASSES SOUTH OF
SAINT CROIX AND PUERTO RICO.  CURRENTLY WINDS ARE FROM THE EAST
NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH BUT ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE FRIDAY OVER
THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND LATER OVER EASTERN PUERTO RICO. WINDS
WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 MPH OVERLAND FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH
STRONGER GUSTS OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF DEAN IS FORECAST TO REMAIN SOUTH OF SAINT
CROIX AND PUERTO RICO FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. HOWEVER...ALL
LOCAL INTERESTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS CLOSELY AS ANY
ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN THE INTENSITY AND OR A SLIGHT CHANGE IN ITS
TRACK TO THE NORTH COULD BRING STRONGER WINDS TO THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.

...INLAND FLOODING...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTHWESTERN FRINGES
OF HURRICANE DEAN SHOULD BEGIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT
ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND OVER VIEQUES...CULEBRA AND THE
EASTERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE AS THE
CENTER OF DEAN PASSES SOUTH OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO
RICO ON ITS FORECAST TRACK FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. RAINFALL
TOTALS OF THREE TO FIVE INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF SEVEN
INCHES IN THE INTERIOR SECTORS. FLASH FLOODS OR MUDSLIDES ARE
POSSIBLE SATURDAY.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
SEAS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS AND ATLANTIC
WATERS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND WILL LIKELY REACH 10 TO 12 FEET AS
HURRICANE DEAN PASSES. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD PLAN TO RETURN TO SAFE
HARBOR FRIDAY MORNING AND PLAN TO REMAIN IN PORT THROUGH SATURDAY.
MARINERS IN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA ARE URGED TO SECURE THEIR
VESSELS OR MOVE THEM TO SAFE HARBOR ESPECIALLY ALONG THE LOCAL
CARIBBEAN WATERS.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 1200 AM AST
FRIDAY BY YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST IN SAN JUAN.

RM











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