[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Aug 16 16:53:25 CDT 2007


WTCA82 TJSJ 162152
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-AMZ710>750-170330-

BULLETIN-
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
545 PM AST THU AUG 16 2007

...HURRICANE DEAN STRENGTHENING AND RAPIDLY APPROACHING THE LESSER
ANTILLES...
...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH WAS ISSUED FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND
PUERTO RICO...

...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE DEAN WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT APPROACHES THE
LESSER ANTILLES AND ITS TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND RADIUS HAS
EXPANDED AS TO BE A CONCERN TO THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO
RICO FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT IS FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO. A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH AND A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS
IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH AND EAST COASTS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS... CULEBRA AND VIEQUES AND PUERTO RICO.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 500 PM AST...HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH
...LONGITUDE 56.5 WEST...OR ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAINT CROIX
OR ABOUT 640 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ST THOMAS OR ABOUT 710 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN. DEAN WAS MOVING WESTWARD AT NEAR 23 MPH...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA IN 36 HOURS OR LESS. RESIDENTS OF THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MAKE PREPARATIONS FOR
POSSIBLE TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS BEGINNING FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND
LASTING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THIS EVENT WILL IMPACT MARINE
INTERESTS SIGNIFICANTLY AS STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS AND HIGH SURF
AFFECT THE COASTAL AREAS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD NOT VENTURE FAR FROM
PORT.

...WINDS...
CURRENTLY THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND 150 MILES FROM THE
CENTER OF DEAN. AT THIS TIME THE SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ALONG THE CARIBBEAN WATERS JUST SOUTH
OF SAINT CROIX AND PUERTO RICO'S SOUTH COAST FRIDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE FRIDAY MORNING OVER
THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS REACHING 20 TO 25 MPH OVERLAND FRIDAY
AFTERNOON WITH STRONGER GUSTS OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN. BASED ON THE
LATEST FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER OF DEAN IS FORECAST TO REMAIN SOUTH
OF SAINT CROIX AND PUERTO RICO FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. ALL
LOCAL INTERESTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS CLOSELY AS ANY
ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN THE INTENSITY AND OR A SLIGHT CHANGE IN ITS
TRACK TO THE NORTH COULD BRING STRONGER WINDS TO THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.

...INLAND FLOODING...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTHWESTERN FRINGES
OF HURRICANE DEAN SHOULD BEGIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT
ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND OVER VIEQUES...CULEBRA AND THE
EASTERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE AS THE
CENTER OF DEAN PASSES SOUTH OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO
RICO ON ITS FORECAST TRACK FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. RAINFALL
TOTALS OF THREE TO FIVE INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF SEVEN
INCHES IN THE INTERIOR SECTORS. FLASH FLOODS OR MUDSLIDES ARE
POSSIBLE SATURDAY.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
SEAS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS AND ATLANTIC
WATERS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND WILL LIKELY REACH 10 TO 12 FEET AS
HURRICANE DEAN PASSES. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD PLAN TO RETURN TO SAFE
HARBOR FRIDAY MORNING AND PLAN TO REMAIN IN PORT THROUGH SATURDAY.
MARINERS IN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA ARE URGED TO SECURE THEIR
VESSELS OR MOVE THEM TO SAFE HARBOR ESPECIALLY ALONG THE LOCAL
CARIBBEAN WATERS.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 1145 PM AST BY
YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST IN SAN JUAN.

RM








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