[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KHGX 152237 RRA
HLSHGX
TXZ235>237-160345-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM ERIN LOCAL STATEMENT...RETRANSMITTED NO CHANGES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
535 PM CDT WED AUG 15 2007

...TROPICAL STORM ERIN MOVING NORTHWEST TOWARD THE MIDDLE TEXAS
COAST WITH A LANDFALL IN THE PORT ARANSAS AREA EXPECTED THURSDAY
MORNING...

...NEW INFORMATION...
...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM SAN LUIS PASS
TO BROWNSVILLE...
...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHWEST PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

BRAZORIA...JACKSON...MATAGORDA...

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM SAN LUIS PASS
TO BROWNSVILLE.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHWEST PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND IS IN EFFECT THROUGH NOON ON THURSDAY.

AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
BRAZORIA...JACKSON AND MATAGORDA COUNTIES.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERIN WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.4 WEST OR ABOUT
200 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PALACIOS.

ERIN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL LANDFALL THURSDAY
MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL. ANOTHER
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY APPROACHING ERIN.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
MIDDLE TEXAS COAST...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES.

STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS MAY BE
EXPERIENCED IN ISOLATED COASTAL LOCATION TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE
CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

...PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS COAST SHOULD REMAIN ALERT AND KEEP
INFORMED ON THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL STORM ERIN. THE MAIN THREAT TO
THE UPPER TEXAS COAST WILL BE HEAVY RAINS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TIDES ARE EXPECTED AT THE TIME OF LANDFALL THURSDAY MORNING TO
AVERAGE 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE COAST SOUTH OF SAN LUIS
PASS AND 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL NORTH OF SAN LUIS PASS. SOME MINOR
BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE.

LOCATION      HIGH TIDE TIMES     EXPECTED WATER MAX

MORGANS POINT...
              WED  5:30 PM.       2.0 FEET.
              THU  5:40 PM.       2.0 FEET.
CLEAR LAKE ENTRANCE...
              THU  1:24 PM.       1.8 FEET.
EAGLE POINT...
              THU 11:13 AM.       1.9 FEET.
PORT BOLIVAR...
              WED  6:35 PM.       2.2 FEET.
              THU  7:33 AM.       2.5 FEET.
              THU  7:49 PM.       2.0 FEET.
GALVESTON CHANNEL...
              WED  6:21 PM.       2.2 FEET.
              THU  7:19 AM.       2.5 FEET.
              THU  7:35 PM.       2.2 FEET.
GALVESTON PLEASURE PIER...
              WED  5:15 PM.       2.8 FEET.
              THU  6:13 AM.       3.0 FEET.
              THU  6:29 PM.       2.7 FEET.
JAMAICA BEACH...
              WED  8:59 PM.       1.9 FEET.
              THU  9:57 AM.       2.1 FEET.
              THU 10:13 PM.       1.8 FEET.
SAN LUIS PASS...
              WED  6:12 PM.       2.0 FEET.
              THU  7:10 AM.       3.0 FEET.
              THU  7:26 PM.       2.0 FEET.
FREEPORT...
              WED  5:37 PM.       2.6 FEET.
              THU  6:35 AM.       3.2 FEET.
              THU  6:51 PM.       2.5 FEET.
PORT O CONNOR...
              WED  7:03 PM.       1.5 FEET.
              THU 10:04 AM.       3.0 FEET.
              THU  8:46 PM.       2.0 FEET.

NOTE:  TIDE LEVELS ARE REFERENCED FROM MEAN LOWER LOW WATER

...WINDS...
ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE BRAZOS RIVER...EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH THIS EVENING WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH IN STRONGER
SQUALLS. NORTH OF THE BRAZOS RIVER...EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH THIS EVENING WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH IN
STRONGER SQUALLS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE AREAWIDE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AFTER ERIN MOVES INLAND.

...RAINFALL...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON ON THURSDAY FOR SOUTHWEST
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS AROUND 8 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE
BRAZOS RIVER. NORTH OF THE RIVER...RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF AROUND 5 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 800 PM CDT.

FOR MORE TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION...SEE THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV OR THE HOUSTON/GALVESTON
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB PAGE AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/HGX.

$$








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