[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KHGX 151627
HLSHGX
TXZ235>237-152230-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM ERIN SPECIAL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1127 AM CDT WED AUG 15 2007

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM ERIN...

...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM FREEPORT TO
BROWNSVILLE...

...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT
THURSDAY...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

BRAZORIA...JACKSON...MATAGORDA...

TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM FREEPORT TO BROWNSVILLE.

INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT
THURSDAY FOR BRAZORIA...JACKSON AND MATAGORDA COUNTIES.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 1030 AM CDT...1530Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERIN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.5 WEST...OR ABOUT 250
MILES...400 KM...EAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS AND ABOUT 295 MILES...480
KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF LA PESCA MEXICO.

ERIN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON
THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ERIN IS FORECAST TO BE NEAR THE LOWER OR
MIDDLE TEXAS COAST THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. SOME RAINBANDS WITH GUSTY WINDS ARE
ALREADY APPROACHING THE TEXAS COAST.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE
PLANE WAS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS
OF THE MIDDLE AND UPPER TEXAS COAST...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
8 INCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS COAST SHOULD REMAIN ALERT AND KEEP
INFORMED ON THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL STORM ERIN. THE MAIN THREAT TO THE
UPPER TEXAS COAST WILL BE HEAVY RAINS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE ONE TO TWO FEET ABOVE NORMAL AT
TIME OF LANDFALL ALONG THE COAST SOUTH OF SAN LUIS PASS AND ONE
FOOT OR LESS ABOVE NORMAL NORTH OF SAN LUIS PASS. SOME MINOR
BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE.

LOCATION	HIGH TIDE TIMES		EXPECTED WATER MAX

MORGANS POINT...
		WED  5:30 PM.		0.9 FEET.
		THU  5:40 PM.		0.9 FEET.
CLEAR LAKE ENTRANCE...
		WED  1:14 PM.		0.8 FEET.
		THU  1:24 PM.		0.8 FEET.
EAGLE POINT...
		WED 11:03 AM.		0.9 FEET.
		THU 11:13 AM.		0.9 FEET.
PORT BOLIVAR...
		WED  6:35 PM.		1.2 FEET.
		THU  7:33 AM.		1.2 FEET.
		THU  7:49 PM.		1.2 FEET.
GALVESTON CHANNEL...
		WED  6:21 PM.		1.2 FEET.
		THU  7:19 AM.		1.4 FEET.
		THU  7:35 PM.		1.8 FEET.
GALVESTON PLEASURE PIER...
		WED  5:15 PM.		1.8 FEET.
		THU  6:13 AM.		2.4 FEET.
		THU  6:29 PM.		2.8 FEET.
JAMAICA BEACH...
		WED  8:59 PM.		0.9 FEET.
		THU  9:57 AM.		1.5 FEET.
		THU  10:13 PM.		1.9 FEET.
SAN LUIS PASS...
		WED  6:12 PM.		1.0 FEET.
		THU  7:10 AM.		1.7 FEET.
		THU  7:26 PM.		2.1 FEET.
FREEPORT...
		WED  5:37 PM.		1.6 FEET.
		THU  6:35 AM.		1.6 FEET.
		THU  6:51 PM.		2.9 FEET.
PORT O CONNOR...
		WED 11:08 AM.		0.4 FEET.
		WED  7:03 PM.		0.5 FEET.
		THU 10:04 AM.		1.8 FEET.
		THU  8:46 PM.		2.9 FEET.

NOTE:  TIDE LEVELS ARE REFERENCED FROM MEAN LOWER LOW WATER

...WINDS...
EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH THIS EVENING WITH
GUSTS TO 35 MPH IN STRONGER SQUALLS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE
THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

...RAINFALL...
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS AROUND 8 INCHES
CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE BRAZOS RIVER. NORTH OF THE
RIVER...RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF AROUND
5 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MAY BE NEEDED LATER THIS EVENING.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 100 PM CDT.

FOR MORE TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION...SEE THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV OR THE HOUSTON/GALVESTON
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB PAGE AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/HGX.

$$






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