[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KBRO 151558
HLSBRO
TXZ251-256-257-161600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM ERIN LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1058 AM CDT WED AUG 15 2007

...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS IN EFFECT FROM BROWNSVILLE TO BAFFIN
BAY...
..NOAA RECONNAISSANCE PLANE FINDS TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND
TROPICAL DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM ERIN...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NOAA RECONNAISSANCE PLANE FINDS TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND
TROPICAL DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM ERIN. TROPICAL
STORM ERIN IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS COAST
EARLY THURSDAY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS FOR RESIDENTS ACROSS DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS AND THE LOWER TEXAS COASTLINE INCLUDING KENEDY...WILLACY...AND
CAMERON COUNTIES.

...WARNINGS...
TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO
GRANDE TO BAFFIN BAY.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 1000 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERIN WAS LOCATED
ABOUT 250 MILES EAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS AND ABOUT 290 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF LA PESCA MEXICO. ERIN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-
NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
UNTIL ERIN MAKES LANDFALL ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS COAST THURSDAY. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH AND SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
BEFORE ERIN MAKES LANDFALL THURSDAY.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
ALTHOUGH NO SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED WITH TROPICAL
STORM ERIN...TIDES ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS COASTLINE WILL CONTINUE
ABOVE PREDICTED. OBSERVED TIDES AT PORT ISABEL ARE NOW TRENDING
ABOUT ONE HALF OF A FOOT ABOVE PREDICTED VALUES. AT TIDES ABOUT ONE FOOT
ABOVE HIGH TIDE...OR AT ABOUT TWO FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL...MINOR
FLOODING OCCURS ON GULF BEACHES. AT TIDES ABOUT THREE FEET ABOVE
MEAN SEA LEVEL...GULF BEACHES ARE AWASH TO THE DUNES AND HIGHWAY 4
MAY FLOOD ISOLATING BOCA CHICA AND BRAZOS ISLAND.

...INLAND FLOODING...
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL OCCUR ACROSS PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS FROM
LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING AS TROPICAL STORM ERIN
APPROACHES. ON AVERAGE 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED EAST OF
HIGHWAY 281...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 6 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE.
FURTHER INLAND RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
DURING THIS TIME.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THE MAIN THREAT FROM THIS TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE FROM HEAVY
RAINFALL. RESIDENTS LIVING IN FLOOD-PRONE AREAS NEED TO BE
PREPARED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF FLOODING. WITH THE ABOVE NORMAL
TIDES EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...PERSONS WHO MIGHT BE CAMPED OR
OTHERWISE ON THE BEACHES SHOULD EVACUATE.

...WINDS...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH AND SOME STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST BEFORE ERIN MAKES LANDFALL THURSDAY. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS UP TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 55 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE NEAR AND JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER AT THE TIME OF
LANDFALL ON THURSDAY.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACTS...
THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL INCREASE AS HIGHER WINDS AND WAVES
DEVELOP ALONG LOCAL BEACHES. HEAVY SURF AND SWELL WILL CREATE
DANGEROUS BEACH CONDITIONS.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT STATEMENT REGARDING TROPICAL STORM ERIN WILL BE ISSUED
AROUND 5 PM CDT.

$$







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