[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 062059
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT FRI OCT 6 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THERE HAS
BEEN LITTLE CHANGE IN THE LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA.  WHILE THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...THERE IS SOME
POTENTIAL FOR THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES NORTHEASTWARD ABOUT 10 MPH.
AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE
THE SYSTEM ON SATURDAY...IF NECESSARY.

ANOTHER AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE
AND THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE. CONDITIONS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMATION. HOWEVER...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE
OVER COASTAL AREAS OF EASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE
SYSTEM DRIFTS SLOWLY WESTWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH

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