[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMLB 130322
HLSMLB
AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
130700-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1122 PM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

...TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO MOVING CLOSER TO THE BIG BEND OF FLORIDA...

...NEW INFORMATION...
WITH ALBERTO DRAWING CLOSER...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS HAVE BECOME
SOMEWHAT MORE CONDUCIVE FOR TORNADOES TO OCCUR OVERNIGHT.
THEREFORE...A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA THROUGH 8 AM EDT.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT IS FOR RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS...ESPECIALLY FOR LAKE AND INLAND
VOLUSIA COUNTIES. PERSONS IN ORANGE...SEMINOLE...OSCEOLA...BREVARD
AND COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTIES SHOULD LISTEN CLOSELY FOR POSSIBLE
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST TRACK AS NOT TO GET CAUGHT OFF GUARD.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR LAKE AND INLAND
VOLUSIA COUNTIES THROUGH TUESDAY. ON THE COAST...A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH NORTHWARD INTO GEORGIA.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR LAKE...ORANGE...SEMINOLE...
VOLUSIA...OSCEOLA...AND BREVARD COUNTIES...TO INCLUDE THE ADJACENT
COASTAL WATERS.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 10 PM EDT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.6 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES
WEST SOUTHWEST OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA. ALBERTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALBERTO
HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDIANS...PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS SHOULD BE RAPIDLY
NEARING COMPLETION FOR LOCATIONS UNDER A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
IMPORTANTLY...EVERYONE SHOULD BE SURE TO CHECK THE LATEST FORECAST
BEFORE GOING TO BED TONIGHT...AND THEN CHECK IT AGAIN FIRST THING IN
THE MORNING. FACTOR THE POTENTIAL IMPACTS OF ALBERTO INTO YOUR FAMILY
OR BUSINESS PLANS FOR TUESDAY...KEEPING SAFETY AS YOUR FIRST
CONCERN.

ALSO...TURN ON THE AUTO ALERT FEATURE OF YOUR NOAA WEATHER RADIO IN
CASE A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED FOR YOUR LOCATION DURING THE MIDDLE
OF THE NIGHT.

...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO IS STILL FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEAST TOWARD
APALACHEE BAY EARLY TUESDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING WINDS TO TROPICAL
STORM FORCE...30 TO 40 MPH...FOR PARTS OF LAKE AND INLAND VOLUSIA
COUNTIES EARLY TUESDAY MORNING AND POSSIBLY CONTINUING INTO THE
AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE LATE TONIGHT INTO
TUESDAY MORNING AND WILL LIKELY GUST OVER 50 MPH IN PASSING SQUALLS.
THE FORECAST FOR THE NEARBY COUNTIES OF ORANGE...SEMINOLE...
OSCEOLA...BREVARD...AND COASTAL VOLUSIA...IS FOR WINDS OF 25 TO
35 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH IN PASSING SQUALLS.

WINDS OF THESE MAGNITUDES COULD RESULT IN ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES...
A FEW FALLEN TREES...MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE...AND DANGEROUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

...TORNADOES...
A TORNADO WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 AM EDT...GENERALLY
FROM AROUND SEBASTIAN AND YEEHAW JUNCTION NORTHWARD. LOW LEVEL
ENVIRONMENTAL WIND SHEAR HAS BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR SUPPORTING
ROTATING STORMS. ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS ARE BETTER OVER THE WESTERN
PENINSULA AT THIS TIME...THE TORNADO THREAT WILL INCREASE EASTWARD AS
RAINBANDS TO THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER
MORE READILY AFFECT THE FORECAST AREA COINCIDENT WITH AN IMPROVED
SHEAR PROFILE. THE THREAT IS FOR SHORT-LIVED TORNADOES.

...INLAND FLOODING...
WHILE THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL FALL ACROSS WESTERN FLORIDA...WIDESPREAD
RAIN AMOUNTS BETWEEN ONE AND THREE INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA THROUGH TUESDAY. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF FIVE
INCHES OR SO WILL BE POSSIBLE WHERE HEAVIER SHOWERS AND SQUALLS
OCCUR. THE HIGHEST RAINFALL TOTALS ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR NORTH OF THE
INTERSTATE 4 CORRIDOR. WIDESPREAD FLOODING APPEARS UNLIKELY AT THIS
TIME AS WATER RETENTION AREAS CAN HANDLE SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF.
HOWEVER...TEMPORARY INUNDATION OF ROADS AND OTHER LOW LYING FLOOD
PRONE AREAS WILL BE LOCALLY POSSIBLE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
WITH THE FORECAST WIND DIRECTION TO EVENTUALLY BECOME OFFSHORE...THE
EFFECTS OF STORM TIDE ARE EXPECTED TO BE MINIMAL FOR THE EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS WITH HEIGHTS LESS THAN 2 FEET...MAINLY NEAR
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FROM COCOA BEACH NORTHWARD. SURF CONDITIONS MAY
BECOME ROUGH NORTH OF COCOA BEACH WITH SOME MINOR BEACH EROSION.

...MARINE...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH NORTHWARD.
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO JUPITER
INLET.

SOUTH OF FLAGLER BEACH...ALBERTO WILL CAUSE SEAS TO BUILD TO 5
TO 7 FEET OVER THE WATERS FROM COCOA BEACH TO FLAGLER BEACH AND OUT
20 NAUTICAL MILES WITH WINDS TO 30 KNOTS. BEYOND 20 NAUTICAL MILES
SEAS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BUILD TO 8 FEET OVERNIGHT AND TUESDAY
WITH WINDS TO 30 KNOTS AS WELL. ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA FROM FLAGLER
BEACH TO JUPITER INLET...LOCAL WINDS WILL GUST TO TROPICAL STORM
STRENGTH IN PASSING SQUALLS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR WATERSPOUTS.
MARINERS...AND OTHERS WITH MARINE INTERESTS...SHOULD LISTEN CLOSELY
FOR CHANGES IN THE FORECAST. AS ALBERTO COMES ON SHORE TUESDAY...
GUSTY WINDS FROM THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST COULD PRODUCE ROUGH
CONDITIONS...DAMAGING SOME DOCKS AND BOATS ALONG THE INTRACOASTAL
WATERWAY...ESPECIALLY IN VOLUSIA COUNTY.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN MELBOURNE WILL BE ISSUED BY 6 AM OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

DD

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