[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Jun 12 16:16:27 CDT 2006


WTUS82 KTAE 122114
HLSTAE
FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GMZ750-755-770-775-132115-

TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
514 PM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

...TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST GULF
OF MEXICO COAST...

....NEW INFORMATION...
EXTENDED THE FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE A PORTION OF SOUTHWEST AND
SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA. UPDATED INFORMATION ON WINDS...TIDES...STORM
SURGE AND STORM COORDINATES.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF
OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN SECTION OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM LONGBOAT KEY TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER. THIS INCLUDES
DIXIE...TAYLOR...JEFFERSON...WAKULLA COUNTIES. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS N EFFECT FROM WEST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO INDIAN
PASS...WHICH INCLUDES FRANKLIN COUNTY. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF THE FLORIDA BIG
BEND. A FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND A PORTION
OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN
EFFECT FOR BAY AND COASTAL WALTON COUNTIES.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM EDT TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS CENTERED NEAR LATITUDE
27.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.1 WEST OR ABOUT 125 MILES SOUTH OF
APALACHICOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 145 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CEDAR KEY
FLORIDA. ALBERTO WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 70 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALBERTO
HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A MINIMAL HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES TO THE
NORTHEAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE LARGE EXTENT OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MEANS THAT THESE WINDS WILL BE FELT
ALONG THE COAST WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE ARRIVAL OF THE CENTER. THE
CENTER OF ALBERTO IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL SOMEWHERE ACROSS
NORTHWEST FLORIDA EARLY TUESDAY...HOWEVER...CONDITIONS ARE
ALREADY DETERIORATING IN THE WARNED AREA.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS ALONG THE BIG BEND COAST SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
LATEST ADVISORIES FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. THE CURRENT
FORECAST TRACK WOULD PLACE MOST OF THE BIG BEND ON THE WEAKER SIDE OF
THE STORM...BUT THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY ABOUT THE PATH OF
ALBERTO. PLEASE FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS OF LOCAL EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT AND LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS OF 5 PM EDT MONDAY...TIDES WERE RUNNING ABOUT TWO TO THREE
FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE APALACHEE BAY COAST. THE LATEST STORM
SURGE MODELS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FORECAST A STORM
SURGE OF 6 TO 8 FEET ACROSS DIXIE COUNTY. STORM SURGE ALONG THE
COAST OF TAYLOR COUNTY...WAKULLA COUNTY...OCHLOCKONEE BAY AND
ACROSS APALACHICOLA BAY ARE FORECAST TO BE 4 TO 6 FEET. THESE
PEAK STORM SURGE HEIGHTS WILL OCCUR IN THE PRE-DAWN HOURS TUESDAY
AND WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. RESIDENTS
IN THE NORMALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PREVENT
PROPERTY DAMAGE...AND KNOW WHERE TO GO SHOULD AN EVACUATION BE
NEEDED. THE FORECAST HIGH TIDES AT THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WILL
OCCUR AT 543 PM TODAY...AND 737 AM TUESDAY. A HIGH TIDE AT ST
MARKS OCCURRED AT 237 PM TODAY. THE NEXT TWO HIGH TIDES WILL BE
AT 447 AM TUESDAY AND AT 318 PM EDT TUESDAY. A HIGH TIDE AT
APALACHICOLA OCCURRED AT 313 PM TODAY AND THE NEXT HIGH TIDE WILL
OCCUR AT 846 AM TUESDAY.

...WINDS...
AS OF 5 PM EDT...WINDS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST WERE EAST TO
SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 25 MPH. WINDS OVER
THE COASTAL WATERS WERE 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 41 KNOTS
WITH SEAS AT THE PANAMA CITY AND APALACHICOLA BUOYS AT 10 TO 14
FEET. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE TO 45 TO 55 KNOTS OVER
APALACHEE BAY LATER TONIGHT WITH SEAS INCREASING TO 13 TO 18 FEET.
ALONG THE COAST...WINDS AND SEAS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THIS
EVENING...REACHING SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH LATER TONIGHT
AND DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON TUESDAY...MAINLY ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST BIG BEND. WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE...WHICH
CAN CAUSE LARGE TREE BRANCHES TO FALL...AS WELL AS A FEW TREES.
UNSECURED ITEMS LIKE PATIO FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS MAY BE BLOWN
OVER OR DISPLACED. SPORADIC...BRIEF POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. DRIVING LARGE PROFILE VEHICLES CAN BE
DIFFICULT IN THESE CONDITIONS.

...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY WILL AVERAGE 1 TO 3
INCHES ACROSS THE BIG BEND...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS TO 5
INCHES POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL FLORIDA
COUNTIES INCLUDING A PORTION OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL
GEORGIA DUE TO THE POSSIBILITY OF FLOODING WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS. FLOODING CAN BE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT...AND MANY
TROPICAL STORM RELATED DEATHS HAVE OCCURRED WHEN MOTORISTS TRIED
TO CROSS STANDING WATER.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO MAY BECOME A MINIMAL HURRICANE BEFORE
LANDFALL TUESDAY MORNING. CONTINUE TO MONITOR LATER FORECASTS.

...TORNADO...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF TORNADOES ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH FLORIDA AND
PORTIONS OF THE BIG BEND LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT BEFORE THE CENTER
MAKES LANDFALL.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WILL BE ISSUED BY
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 9 PM EDT OR SOONER
IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

BARRY

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