[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Jun 12 08:29:06 CDT 2006


WTUS82 KTAE 121327 CCA
HLSTAE
FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GMZ750-755-770-775-131315-

TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED FOR FORMAT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
910 AM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

...TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO HEADED FOR NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO...

....NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED INFORMATION ON WINDS AND SURGES AND STROM COORDINATES.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF
OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN SECTION OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM ENGLEWOOD TO INDIAN PASS. THIS INCLUDES DIXIE...
TAYLOR...JEFFERSON...WAKULLA...FRANKLIN AND GULF COUNTIES.AN INLAND
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF THE
FLORIDA BIG BEND. A FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA BIG BEND.
A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR BAY AND COASTAL WALTON COUNTIES.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 7 AM EDT TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS CENTERED NEAR LATITUDE 26.7
NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.0 WEST OR ABOUT 240 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
APALACHICOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 295 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CEDAR KEY
FLORIDA. ALBERTO WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 8
MPH...AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 50 MPH....WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO THE
EASTERN SEMI CIRCLE OF ALBERTO AND EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES
FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 1001MB...29.56
INCHES. THE CENTER OF ALBERTO IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL SOMEWHERE
ACROSS NORTHWEST FLORIDA DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY...BUT THE WORST
WEATHER WILL OCCUR WELL AHEAD OF THE ACTUAL CENTER.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS ALONG THE BIG BEND COAST SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
LATEST ADVISORIES FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. THE CURRENT
FORECAST TRACK WOULD PLACE MOST OF THE BIG BEND ON THE WEAKER SIDE OF
THE STORM...BUT THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY ABOUT THE PATH OF
ALBERTO. PLEASE FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS OF LOCAL EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT AND LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS OF 8 AM EDT MONDAY...TIDES WERE RUNNING ABOUT A FOOT OR SO ABOVE
NORMAL ALONG THE APALACHEE BAY COAST. EVEN THOUGH ALBERTO WILL
LIKELY REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM...IT DOES NOT TAKE VERY HIGH WINDS
TO CAUSE FLOODING ACROSS APALACHEE BAY DUE TO ITS SHALLOW WATER
LEVELS. IN FACT...THE LATEST STORM SURGE MODELS FROM THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER FORECAST A STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 6 FEET ALONG THE
BIG BEND COAST LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT
FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. RESIDENTS IN THE NORMALLY FLOOD PRONE
AREAS SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PREVENT PROPERTY DAMAGE...AND KNOW
WHERE TO GO SHOULD AN EVACUATION BE NEEDED. THE FORECAST HIGH TIDES
AT THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER ENTRANCE OCCURRED AT 656 AM EDT THIS
MORNING. THE NEXT TWO HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR AT 543 PM TODAY...AND
737 AM TUESDAY. THE NEXT HIGH TIDES AT ST MARKS ARE 237 PM
TODAY...AND 447 AM TUESDAY. THE HIGH TIDE AT APALACHICOLA OCCURRED
AT 807 AM EDT THIS MORNING. THE NEXT HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR AT 313 PM
TODAY...AND 846 AM TUESDAY.

...WINDS...
AS OF 8 AM EDT...EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS WERE EAST TO NORTHEAST 7 TO
13 MPH. WINDS OVER  THE COASTAL WATERS WERE 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH SEAS
AT THE PANAMA CITY AND APALACHICOLA BUOYS AT 11 FEET. WINDS AND SEAS
WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE DURING THE DAY TODAY...REACHING SUSTAINED
SPEEDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH ALONG THE COAST...AND 20 TO 30 MPH LATER
TONIGHT AND DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON TUESDAY. WIND GUSTS TO
50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE...WHICH CAN CAUSE LARGE TREE BRANCHES TO
FALL...AS WELL AS A FEW TREES. UNSECURED ITEMS LIKE PATIO FURNITURE
AND TRASH CANS MAY BE BLOWN OVER OR DISPLACED. SPORADIC...BRIEF
POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. DRIVING LARGE
PROFILE VEHICLES CAN BE DIFFICULT IN THESE CONDITIONS.

...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY WILL AVERAGE 1 TO
2 INCHES ACROSS THE BIG BEND...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS TO 4
INCHES POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED DUE TO THE
POSSIBILITY OF FLOODING WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FLOODING CAN BE
ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT...AND MANY TROPICAL STORM RELATED
DEATHS HAVE OCCURRED WHEN MOTORISTS TRIED TO CROSS STANDING WATER.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO IS STILL A RATHER DISORGANIZED STORM AND
FUTURE FORECASTS MAY HAVE SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE TIMING LOCATION.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR LATER FORECASTS.

...TORNADO...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF TORNADOES ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH FLORIDA AND
PORTIONS OF THE BIG BEND LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT BEFORE THE CENTER
MAKES LANDFALL.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WILL BE ISSUED BY
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 12 PM (MIDDAY) EDT OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

BLOCK

$$





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