[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Aug 31 11:01:07 CDT 2006


WTUS82 KILM 311600
HLSILM
AMZ250-252-254-256-NCZ097-100-101-SCZ034-046-312015-

TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1158 AM EDT THU AUG 31 2006


...TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WILL IMPACT THE CAROLINAS THROUGH
TONIGHT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
WATCH AND WARNING STATUS HAS BEEN UPDATED.
STORM INFORMATION UPDATED.

....AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT IS FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN
NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...

GEORGETOWN AND HORRY...

AND IN SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...

BRUNSWICK...NEW HANOVER AND PENDER

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ADDED. AT THIS TIME...ERNESTO IS NOT
FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE. HOWEVER...FURTHER STRENGTHENING
WOULD REQUIRE THE ISSUANCE OF A HURRICANE WARNING.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE COAST FROM
THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER IN SOUTH CAROLINA TO SURF CITY NORTH
CAROLINA. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TODAY INTO TONIGHT.
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH MIDNIGHT FOR HEAVY RAIN ACROSS
THE AREA. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND COUNTIES.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.6 WEST...OR ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTH
OF GEORGETOWN SOUTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF
SOUTHPORT NORTH CAROLINA. AREAS OF RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH ERNESTO ARE
CIRCULATING ON THE COAST AND MOVING INLAND ACROSS THE AREA. ERNESTO
WAS TURNING SLIGHTLY AND WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR
17 MPH. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER OF ERNESTO IS EXPECTED TO
BRUSH GEORGETOWN THIS EVENING AND MOVE INLAND NEAR THE NORTH
CAROLINA STATE LINE BEFORE MIDNIGHT. ERNESTO IS THEN FORECAST TO
MOVE INTO COASTAL PLAINS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING.

ERNESTO HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED...AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
994 MB...29.35 INCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE
DAYLIGHT HOURS TO RUSH PREPARATIONS TO COMPLETION BEFORE THE WEATHER
DETERIORATES LATER TODAY. SECURE LOOSE OBJECTS AND PREPARE FOR HEAVY
RAIN.

MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS FOR THE LATEST FORECAST
INFORMATION...AND IN CASE FLOOD OR TORNADO WARNINGS ARE ISSUED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
HIGH TIDE WILL BE BETWEEN 1 AND 2 PM...AND MAXIMUM WINDS STORM SURGE
WILL BE NEAR THE TIME OF LOW TIDE...BETWEEN 7 AND 9 PM. THE SURGE IS
FORECAST TO EXCEED THE TIDE BY THREE TO FIVE FEET...WITH THE HIGHEST
SURGE ALONG THE BRUNSWICK COUNTY COAST. SALT WATER FLOODING EFFECTS
ARE EXPECTED TO BE MINOR ALONG THE GEORGETOWN...NEW HANOVER AND
PENDER COUNTY COASTS...MINOR TO MODERATE ALONG THE HORRY COUNTY
COAST AND MODERATE ACROSS THE BRUNSWICK COUNTY COAST.

...WINDS...
ALONG THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED ON THE GEORGETOWN COUNTY COAST AND ACROSS HORRY COUNTY
LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING...SPREADING INTO NORTH
CAROLINA THIS EVENING WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO NEAR 60 MPH AND HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
THE COASTAL AREAS OF BRUNSWICK COUNTY AND ACROSS BALD HEAD ISLAND.
WINDS WILL DIMINISH FROM THE SOUTH LATER TONIGHT.

...INLAND FLOODING...
AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ERNESTO WILL CONTINUE TO
SPREAD OVER THE REGION. THREE TO SIX INCHES OF RAIN IS EXPECTED
ACROSS SOUTH CAROLINA WITH FOUR TO EIGHT INCHES ACROSS NORTH
CAROLINA...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS. PONDING ON ROADWAYS CAN BE
EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE NIGHT.
RIVER LEVELS ARE WELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE...BUT COULD RAPIDLY RISE IF
HEAVY RAINFALL DEVELOPS OVER THE HEADWATERS.

...TORNADOES...
TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT...MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND
EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF ERNESTO MOVES. TORNADOES IN LAND FALLING
TROPICAL SYSTEMS ARE GENERALLY SMALL AND DIFFICULT TO SEE DUE TO
HEAVY RAINFALL. KEEP A BATTERY POWERED NOAA WEATHER RADIO NEARBY TO
WARN YOU OF APPROACHING HAZARDS.

...RIP CURRENTS...
THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ON ALL AREA BEACHES TODAY.
RIP CURRENTS THAT DEVELOP TODAY COULD BE LIFE THREATENING TO
ANYONE WHO ENTERS THE SURF.

...HIGH SURF/BEACH EROSION...
SURF WILL LIKELY BUILD TO 3 TO 5 FEET BY MORNING...AND TO AS HIGH
AS 9 FT BY NIGHT. MINOR TO MODERATE BEACH EROSION IS LIKELY TO
OCCUR IN MANY AREAS.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
WILMINGTON AROUND 3 PM.


$$







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