[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KCHS 300651
HLSCHS
AMZ330-350-352-354-374-GAZ087-088-099>101-114>119-137>141-SCZ040-
042>045-047>051-301100-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
250 AM EDT WED AUG 30 2006

...TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO MAKES LANDFALL ACROSS SOUTHERN FLORIDA...

...NEW INFORMATION...
THE POSITION OF ERNESTO HAS BEEN UPDATED. THERE ARE NO OTHER
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS
AND VISITORS OF SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...
INCLUDING THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE ALTAMAHA RIVER IN
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA NORTH TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER IN SOUTHERN SOUTH
CAROLINA. THIS INCLUDES CHARLESTON...COLLETON...BEAUFORT AND JASPER
COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND CHATHAM...BRYAN...LIBERTY
AND MCINTOSH COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...INCLUDING THE ADJACENT
COASTAL WATERS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR DORCHESTER AND
BERKELEY COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING OR HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE ISSUED FOR
PORTIONS OF THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA LATER TODAY.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 2 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.7 WEST...OR ABOUT 50 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHWEST OF MIAMI FLORIDA. THIS IS ABOUT 530 MILES SOUTH OF
CHARLESTON AND ABOUT 470 MILES SOUTH OF SAVANNAH.

ERNESTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST AT 7 MPH. A TURN TO THE
NORTH WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY.
THIS WILL TAKE ERNESTO ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. THE STORM WILL
MOVE BACK INTO THE ATLANTIC THIS EVENING AND HEAD FOR THE SOUTH
CAROLINA COAST THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
WEAKENING IS EXPECTED LATER THIS MORNING AS THE SYSTEM MOVES FARTHER
INLAND. ONCE THE STORM MOVES BACK INTO THE ATLANTIC THIS EVENING...
IT IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN TO A STRONG TROPICAL STORM. THERE
REMAINS A SLIGHT CHANCE THAT ERNESTO COULD BECOME A MINIMAL
HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
THE PROJECTED TIMING WILL BE NEAR HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 3 FEET WOULD GIVE STORM TIDES
OF 7 TO 9 FEET MEAN LOWER LOW WATER ALONG THE CHARLESTON COUNTY
COAST BASED ON THE CURRENT TRACK. THIS WILL CAUSE SOME COASTAL
FLOODING OF THE BARRIER ISLANDS AND IN THE CHARLESTON HARBOR.

FURTHER SOUTH AROUND BEAUFORT AND THE GEORGIA COAST...WINDS ARE
CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO BE OFFSHORE SO STORM TIDES ARE NOT EXPECTED TO
BE MUCH IF ANY HIGHER THAN THE ASTRONOMICAL TIDES.

...WIND IMPACTS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT THE SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA COAST AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS LATE TONIGHT. THESE WINDS
WILL SPREAD NORTH INTO SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA AND THE ADJACENT
COASTAL WATERS THURSDAY. WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED WITH
THE STORM. THERE IS STILL A CHANCE THAT THE STORM MAY REACH MINIMAL
HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE COAST.

...FLOODING IMPACTS...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WITH THE STORM ARE EXPECTED TO BE 1 TO 3 INCHES IN
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND 3 TO 5 INCHES IN SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA.
LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE ISSUED
FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA LATER TODAY AS THESE AMOUNTS COULD PRODUCE
FLASH FLOODING.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK BEFORE
AND DURING LANDFALL WITH ERNESTO. THUS...THE AREA MOST LIKELY TO
EXPERIENCE TORNADOES WOULD BE THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST.

...INLAND WIND IMPACTS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO PUSH
INLAND FROM THE COAST THURSDAY AS ERNESTO APPROACHES THE CHARLESTON
COUNTY COAST. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...WINDS GREATER THAN 39
MPH...ARE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR ALONG AND EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 95
CORRIDOR. THIS INCLUDES THE COMMUNITIES OF WALTERBORO...
SUMMERVILLE...MONCKS CORNER AND DANIEL ISLAND.

WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TREE AND POWERLINE
DAMAGE. MINOR DAMAGE TO SOME STRUCTURES IS ALSO POSSIBLE. PREPARE
NOW FOR POSSIBLE POWER OUTAGES.

MARINERS ON LAKE MOULTRIE CAN EXPECT EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CONDITIONS
TO DEVELOP ON THE LAKE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AS
ERNESTO CROSSES THE REGION. WINDS AS HIGH AS 40 TO 45 KNOTS ARE
EXPECTED. THE RESULTING LARGE WAVE ACTION FROM THESE WINDS MAY CAUSE
DOCK AND PIER DAMAGE AROUND THE LAKESHORE. LARGE WIND DRIVEN WAVES
MAY ALSO PRODUCE LAKESHORE FLOODING...PARTICULARLY ALONG THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE LAKE.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACTS...
A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY ALONG THE
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA COAST. A HIGH RIP
CURRENT RISK MEANS THAT WIND AND OR WAVE CONDITIONS SUPPORT
PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS. RIP CURRENTS ARE LIFE
THREATENING TO ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF. HEED THE ADVICE OF
LIFEGUARDS AND THE BEACH PATROL. PAY ATTENTION TO FLAGS AND POSTED
SIGNS.

...HIGH SURF/BEACH EROSION IMPACTS...
MODERATE BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTH CAROLINA AND
GEORGIA COAST WITH SOME SEVERE EROSION EXPECTED IN CHARLESTON
COUNTY. LOCALIZED SEVERE BEACH EROSION IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN EROSION
PRONE AREAS SUCH AS HUNTING ISLAND AND EDISTO BEACH.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON AROUND 6 AM...OR SOONER
IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO CAN BE FOUND IN
ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...AS WELL AS
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTS AND SHORT TERM FORECASTS ISSUED BY
THIS OFFICE.

$$

ST

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