[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KCHS 300315
HLSCHS
AMZ330-350-352-354-374-GAZ087-088-099>101-114>119-137>141-SCZ040-
042>045-047>051-300800-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1115 PM EDT TUE AUG 29 2006

...TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO STILL POISED TO IMPACT THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OR
INTENSITY OF ERNESTO. INFORMATION ABOUT POSSIBLE IMPACTS TO LAKE
MOULTRIE HAVE BEEN INCLUDED.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS
AND VISITORS OF SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...
INCLUDING THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE ALTAMAHA RIVER IN
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA NORTH TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER IN SOUTHERN SOUTH
CAROLINA. THIS INCLUDES CHARLESTON...COLLETON...JASPER AND BEAUFORT
COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND MCINTOSH...BRYAN...LIBERTY
AND CHATHAM COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...INCLUDING THE ADJACENT
COASTAL WATERS.

AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR DORCHESTER AND
BERKELEY COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.5 WEST OR ABOUT 65 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHWEST OF MIAMI FLORIDA. THIS IS ABOUT 540 MILES SOUTH OF
CHARLESTON AND ABOUT 490 MILES SOUTH OF SAVANNAH.

ERNESTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH AND WILL MAKE
LANDFALL IN SOUTHERN FLORIDA OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. THE STORM IS
EXPECTED TO TURN NORTH AND INCREASE IN SPEED OVERNIGHT WHILE
CROSSING THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. THE STORM WILL MOVE BACK INTO THE
ATLANTIC WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND HEAD FOR THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST
ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
WEAKENING IS EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT AS THE SYSTEM MOVES INLAND. ONCE
THE STORM MOVES INTO THE ATLANTIC ON THURSDAY...IT IS EXPECTED TO
STRENGTHEN TO A STRONG TROPICAL STORM. THERE REMAINS A SLIGHT CHANCE
ERNESTO COULD BECOME A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE SOUTH CAROLINA
COAST.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
THE PROJECTED TIMING WILL BE NEAR HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 3 FEET WOULD GIVE STORM TIDES
OF 7 TO 9 FEET MEAN LOWER LOW WATER ALONG THE CHARLESTON COUNTY
COAST BASED ON THE CURRENT TRACK. THIS WILL CAUSE SOME COASTAL
FLOODING OF THE ISLANDS AND IN THE CHARLESTON HARBOR.

FURTHER SOUTH AROUND BEAUFORT AND THE GEORGIA COAST...WINDS ARE
CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO BE OFFSHORE SO STORM TIDES ARE NOT EXPECTED
TO BE MUCH IF ANY HIGHER THAN THE ASTRONOMICAL TIDES.

...WIND IMPACTS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT THE SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA COAST AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
THESE WINDS WILL SPREAD NORTH INTO SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS THURSDAY. WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH THE STORM. THERE IS STILL A CHANCE THAT THE STORM
MAY REACH MINIMAL HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE COAST.

...FLOODING IMPACTS...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WITH THE STORM ARE EXPECTED TO BE 1 TO 3 INCHES IN
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND 3 TO 5 INCHES IN SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA.
LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED
ON WEDNESDAY AS THESE AMOUNTS COULD PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK BEFORE
AND DURING LANDFALL WITH ERNESTO. THUS...THE AREA MOST LIKELY TO
EXPERIENCE TORNADOES WOULD BE THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST.

...INLAND WIND IMPACTS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO PUSH
INLAND FROM THE COAST THURSDAY AS ERNESTO APPROACHES THE CHARLESTON
COUNTY COAST. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...WINDS GREATER THAN 39
MPH...ARE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR ALONG AND EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 95
CORRIDOR. THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF WALTERBORO...SUMMERVILLE...
MONCKS CORNER AND DANIEL ISLAND.

WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TREE AND POWERLINE
DAMAGE. MINOR DAMAGE IS ALSO POSSIBLE TO SOME STRUCTURES. PREPARE
NOW FOR POSSIBLE POWER OUTAGES.

MARINERS ON LAKE MOULTRIE CAN EXPECT EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CONDITIONS
TO DEVELOP ON THE LAKE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AS
ERNESTO CROSSES THE REGION. WINDS AS HIGH AS 40 TO 45 KNOTS ARE
EXPECTED. THE RESULTING LARGE WAVE ACTION FROM THESE WINDS MAY CAUSE
DOCK AND PIER DAMAGE AROUND THE LAKESHORE. LARGE WIND DRIVEN WAVES
MAY ALSO PRODUCE LAKESHORE FLOODING...PARTICULARLY ALONG THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE LAKE.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACTS...
A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY ALONG THE
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA COAST. A HIGH RIP
CURRENT RISK MEANS THAT WIND AND OR WAVE CONDITIONS SUPPORT
PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS. RIP CURRENTS ARE LIFE
THREATENING TO ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF. HEED THE ADVICE OF
LIFEGUARDS AND THE BEACH PATROL. PAY ATTENTION TO FLAGS AND POSTED
SIGNS.

...HIGH SURF/BEACH EROSION IMPACTS...
MODERATE BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTH CAROLINA AND
GEORGIA COAST WITH SOME SEVERE EROSION EXPECTED IN CHARLESTON
COUNTY. LOCALIZED SEVERE BEACH EROSION IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN EROSION
PRONE AREAS SUCH AS HUNTING ISLAND AND EDISTO BEACH.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON AROUND 3 AM OR SOONER
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO CAN BE FOUND IN
ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...AS WELL AS
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTS AND SHORT TERM FORECASTS ISSUED BY
THIS OFFICE.

$$

ST

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