[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KJAX 300302
HLSJAX
FLZ024-025-032-033-037-038-040-GAZ153-154-165-166-300900-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1007 PM EDT TUE AUG 29 2006

...ERNESTO LINGERING OVER THE UPPER KEYS...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NO CHANGES.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA...CLAY...DUVAL...FLAGLER...
MARION...NASSAU...PUTNAM AND ST JOHNS.

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...CAMDEN AND GLYNN.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR FLAGLER...ST JOHNS...DUVAL
AND NASSAU COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND CAMDEN AND GLYNN
COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN
EFFECT FOR CLAY...PUTNAM AND MARION COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA. A
FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR FLAGLER AND ST JOHNS COUNTIES THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 1100 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.5 WEST OR ABOUT 385 MILES
SOUTH OF MAYPORT FLORIDA.

OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS ERNESTO HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH.  A TURN TO THE NORTH WITH AN
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THE
CENTER OF ERNESTO SHOULD REMAIN OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA FOR THE
NEXT DAY OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SLOW
WEAKENING IS EXPECTED...AND ERNESTO COULD WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION WEDNESDAY MORNING.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES MAINLY TO
THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREAS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA SHOULD PREPARE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS BEGINNING
WEDNESDAY EVENING.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE...
STORM TIDES MAY REACH THREE TO FOUR FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL AT THE
TIME OF HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY. THIS STORM TIDE VALUE IS ONE TO TWO
FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDES AND ITS IMPACTS WOULD BE SIMILAR
TO A WINTER NORTHEASTER.

...WINDS...
BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY...THE MAIN
WIND IMPACTS WILL BE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...THE IMMEDIATE BEACHES
AND NEAR THE ST JOHNS RIVER. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ALONG THE
COAST OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA WEDNESDAY EVENING AND MAY BRIEFLY REACH 40
TO 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND THE IMMEDIATE
BEACHES. NEAR THE ST JOHNS RIVER AND ALONG THE GEORGIA COAST WINDS
MAY INCREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AND INTO THURSDAY MORNING. WINDS MAY ALSO BRIEFLY REACH TROPICAL
STORM INTENSITY NEAR THE LARGER LAKES OF EASTERN MARION...SOUTHEAST
PUTNAM AND INLAND FLAGLER COUNTIES. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE IN
ALL AREAS BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL ALONG THE COASTAL AREAS IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 2 TO 4 INCH
RANGE WITH 1 TO 3 INCH AMOUNTS FURTHER INLAND. THIS RAINFALL WOULD
NOT BE EXPECTED TO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING EXCEPT IN LOCALIZED LOW
LYING AREAS. HOWEVER...ANY CHANGE IN TRACK FURTHER TO THE WEST WOULD
RESULT IN HIGHER RAINFALL AMOUNTS ESPECIALLY IN COASTAL SECTIONS OF
NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND WOULD INCREASE THE FLOOD THREAT.

...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL NOT BE SIGNIFICANT.
THERE WILL BE THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES IN STRONGER
BANDS MAINLY NEAR THE COAST.

...MARINE...
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH
TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH OVER THE COASTAL WATERS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 12 FEET OR HIGHER. LOCAL INLETS
MAY EXPERIENCE LARGE AND DANGEROUS BREAKERS.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON ERNESTO FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 5 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING.

A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT CAN BE FOUND
ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE WEB SITE AT

HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAX/GHLS/HLS_MAIN.SHTML

$$

SANDRIK
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