[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KTBW 290621
HLSTBW
FLZ052-056-057-061-062-065-290930-

TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
221 AM EDT TUE AUG 29 2006

...ERNESTO NEARING THE NORTHERN CUBA COAST BUT IS STILL
DISORGANIZED...

...NEW INFORMATION...
AT 2 AM...TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2 DEGREES
NORTH AND 78.3 DEGREES WEST...OR ABOUT 380 MILES SOUTHEAST OF FORT
MYERS. ERNESTO CONTINUES MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH AND WILL
EMERGE OFF THE COAST IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. CONVECTION REMAINS
DISORGANIZED AND IS DISPLACED NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER OF LOW
PRESSURE. SUSTAINED WINDS IN THESE CONVECTIVE BURSTS ARE ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 40 MPH. AT 1 AM EDT...A WIND GUST TO 28 MPH WAS REPORTED AT
GUANTANAMO BAY CUBA IN A THUNDERSTORM WELL EAST OF THE CENTER OF
CIRCULATION.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT IS FOR RESIDENTS AND VISITORS TO SOUTHWEST AND
WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL AREAS OF LEE AND
CHARLOTTE COUNTIES.

AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NON COASTAL
AND NON TIDAL AREAS OF CHARLOTTE...LEE AND DESOTO COUNTIES...AND
FOR ALL OF POLK AND HARDEE COUNTIES.

...WINDS...
BRIEF WIND GUSTS OF 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM OUTER RAIN BANDS
OR THUNDERSTORMS LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS ERNESTO MOVES INTO
EXTREME SOUTH FLORIDA. COASTAL AREAS OF CHARLOTTE AND LEE COUNTIES
COULD SEE SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WEDNESDAY MORNING.
OTHERWISE...CURRENT INDICATIONS SUGGEST THAT WINDS OUTSIDE OF RAIN
AREAS WILL REMAIN AT OR BELOW 25 MPH THROUGH AT LEAST MID DAY
WEDNESDAY.

THE BEST CHANCE FOR INLAND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE
ALONG AND GENERALLY EAST OF U.S. 27 ON WEDNESDAY.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE...
THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK SUGGESTS WINDS WILL BE MAINLY OFFSHORE
UNTIL THE STORM MOVES NORTH OF THE AREA. AFTER THE STORM PASSES
WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST OR SOUTHWEST...WHICH COULD INCREASE
TIDES 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ON WEDNESDAY.

...INLAND FLOODING...
TOTAL RAINFALL THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING IS EXPECTED TO BE BETWEEN
2 AND 5 INCHES. MUCH WILL DEPEND ON THE ACTUAL TRACK OF ERNESTO.
HOWEVER...HEAVY BURSTS OF RAIN MAY CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF
STREETS AND LOW LYING AREAS... ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS.

...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...BEACH EROSION...
ONSHORE WINDS WILL DEVELOP WEDNESDAY WITH HIGH SURF AND MINOR
BEACH EROSION POSSIBLE. RIP CURRENTS WILL ALSO BECOME A THREAT
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. THERE IS MUCH
UNCERTAINTY IN THE FUTURE COURSE AND INTENSITY OF ERNESTO. NOW IS
THE TIME TO REVIEW HURRICANE PLANS AND CONTINUE CLOSELY
MONITORING THE PROGRESS OF ERNESTO. BE READY TO IMPLEMENT SOME OF YOUR
HURRICANE PLANS SHOULD WARNINGS BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FOR YOUR COUNTY.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO REMAINS DISORGANIZED...AND FUTURE
FORECASTS MAY HAVE SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE TIMING AND LOCATION
OF IMPACTS. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND YOUR LOCAL
MEDIA OUTLETS FOR LATER FORECASTS.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN RUSKIN WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 515 AM THIS MORNING.

$$

BSG


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