[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Aug 28 17:13:47 CDT 2006


WTUS82 KMLB 282213
HLSMLB
AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
290400-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
612 PM EDT MON AUG 28 2006

...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED FROM VERO BEACH SOUTHWARD...

...NEW INFORMATION...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM VERO BEACH
SOUTHWARD. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS NOW BEEN ISSUED FOR
MARTIN...SAINT LUCIE...INDIAN RIVER AND OKEECHOBEE COUNTIES.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT IS FOR RESIDENTS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...INCLUDING
MARTIN...SAINT LUCIE...OKEECHOBEE...INDIAN RIVER...BREVARD...
OSCEOLA...ORANGE...SEMINOLE...VOLUSIA...AND LAKE COUNTIES.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM VERO BEACH SOUTHWARD.

AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR MARTIN...SAINT
LUCIE...INDIAN RIVER AND OKEECHOBEE COUNTIES.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
FROM NEW SMYRNA BEACH SOUTHWARD.

AN INLAND HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL COUNTIES OF
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA EXCEPT FOR LAKE COUNTY...WHERE AN INLAND
TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.9 WEST...OR ABOUT 600 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL. ERNESTO WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST
NEAR 13 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS TROPICAL STORM WINDS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN 24 HOURS AND PLANS FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SHOULD BE
IMPLEMENTED IN THE WARNED COUNTIES OF MARTIN...OKEECHOBEE...SAINT
LUCIE AND INDIAN RIVER COUNTIES. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. BASED ON
EXPERIENCES OF THE PAST TWO HURRICANE SEASONS...EVERY HOME OR
BUSINESS IN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA SHOULD HAVE A COMPREHENSIVE
HURRICANE PLAN IN PLACE AND BE PREPARED TO BE SELF SUFFICIENT FOR 72
HOURS AFTER A STORM PASSES. THERE IS MUCH UNCERTAINTY IN THE FUTURE
COURSE AND INTENSITY OF ERNESTO. NOW IS THE TIME TO REVIEW HURRICANE
PLANS AND CONTINUE CLOSELY MONITORING THE PROGRESS OF ERNESTO. BE
READY TO IMPLEMENT YOUR HURRICANE PLANS SHOULD WARNINGS BE ISSUED BY
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR YOUR COUNTY.

...WINDS...
ERNESTO IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL IN SOUTH FLORIDA AS A STRONG
TROPICAL STORM LATE TUESDAY AND SPREAD SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS WITH GUST TO HURRICANE FORCE INTO MARTIN...ST LUCIE...
OKEECHOBEE AND INDIAN RIVER COUNTIES IN THE OVERNIGHT HOURS TUESDAY
AND OVERSPREAD EASTERN OSCEOLA...BREVARD...EASTERN ORANGE...SEMINOLE
AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING. WITH THIS PREDICTED INCREASE IN FORWARD MOTION...TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS SHOULD BE DIMINISHING OVER VOLUSIA COUNTY BY
MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS ERNESTO MOVES UP THE FLORIDA COAST SURGE AND TIDE WATERS MAY
TEMPORARILY REACH 4 TO 5 FEET BRINGING A MODERATE THREAT OF COASTAL
FLOODING TO AREAS SOUTH OF CAPE CANAVERAL. NORTH OF CAPE CANAVERAL...
THE THREAT IS LOWER WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SURGE AND TIDE WATERS OF 2
TO 3 FEET. SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION IS BECOMING A CONCERN.

...INLAND FLOODING...
AT THIS POINT...A FLOOD WATCH HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED DUE TO THE
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK AND INTENSITY. FORECAST RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE. MUCH WILL DEPEND ON THE ACTUAL TRACK OF ERNESTO. HOWEVER...
AT THIS POINT...THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS EXPECTED IN THE COASTAL COUNTIES
AND THE EASTERN PART OF OSCEOLA AND ORANGE COUNTIES. A FLOOD WATCH
WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR SOME AREAS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA BY
TUESDAY MORNING.

...TORNADOES...
HISTORICALLY SPEAKING...THE SCENARIO ASSOCIATED WITH ERNESTO PROMPTS
A MODERATE TORNADO THREAT MAINLY WITH THE OUTER RAINBANDS THAT
ROTATE ONSHORE. THE GREATER THREAT WILL BE IN VICINITY OF THE COAST.
THE TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED TO BE SHORT-LIVED AND LIKELY THE FIRST
HAZARD TO ARRIVE INTO THE AREA.

...MARINE...
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE AS EARLY AS TUESDAY NIGHT FROM
JUPITER INLET TO COCOA BEACH...SPREADING NORTHWARD INTO WEDNESDAY
NORTH OF COCOA BEACH. THEN...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE INTO
WEDNESDAY CONTINUING WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EXITING THE AREA THURSDAY
MORNING. MARINERS SHOULD STAY ABREAST OF THE PROGRESS OF ERNESTO AND
BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO SAFE HARBOR WELL IN ADVANCE.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN MELBOURNE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND MIDNIGHT OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

DD
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