[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTCA82 TJSJ 021016
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-AMZ710>750-021230-

BULLETIN-
TROPICAL STORM CHRIS LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
600 AM AST WED AUG 2 2006

...TROPICAL STORM CHRIS IS BRUSHING BY THE NORTHERNMOST LEEWARD
   ISLANDS...
...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
   AND PUERTO RICO...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TODAY TO 11 AM THURSDAY
   FOR THE NORTHERN COASTS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
   ISLANDS EXCEPT VIEQUES...


...NEW INFORMATION...
STORM POSITION AND TIMING.
CONDITIONS EXPECTED.
HIGH SURF ADVISORY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS AND
VISITORS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS OR LESS.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5:00 AM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.6 WEST...OR ABOUT 49 MILES
NORTHEAST  OF ANGUILLA...OR ABOUT 165 MILES NORTHEAST OF ST CROIX OR
ABOUT 160 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF ST THOMAS...OR ABOUT 236 MILES
EAST OF SAN JUAN.  CHRIS WAS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 10
MPH...WITH THIS GENERAL MOTION EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS. ON THIS TRACK... THE CENTER OF CHRIS WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE
NORTHERNMOST LEEWARD ISLANDS THIS MORNING...AND PASS NORTH OF SAINT
THOMAS AND SAINT JOHN LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS...AND CHRIS IS
FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY OR THURSDAY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO
SHOULD CONTINUE TO MAKE PREPARATIONS FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE MAIN IMPACT FROM CHRIS IS
EXPECTED TO BE TORRENTIAL RAINS FROM THE HEAVY RAIN BANDS AND
SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH THE STORM. ADDITIONALLY...STRONG AND GUSTY
WINDS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE AND GREATER MAY ACCOMPANY THESE
SQUALLS AND RAINBANDS. MARINERS IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS SHOULD
HAVE ALREADY PREPARED THEIR VESSELS FOR THIS STORM...AND MARINERS IN
PUERTO RICO SHOULD RUSH TO READY THEIR VESSELS.

...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 65 MILES FROM THE
CENTER OF CHRIS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME GUSTY IN THE NORTHERN
VIRGIN ISLANDS IN PASSING SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH
THE RAIN BANDS. SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO REACH 20 TO 30 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUSTS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS TROPICAL STORM CHRIS COMES
CLOSER TO THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST
TRACK THE STORM CENTER IS FORECAST TO PASS NORTH OF ST JOHN AND ST
THOMAS EARLY TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE GUSTS SHOULD BE EXPECTED
AS THE RAIN BANDS AROUND THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE STORM IMPACT
ST THOMAS AND ST JOHN...AND TO A LESSER EXTENT ST CROIX. WINDS WILL
CHANGE TO THE SOUTHEAST ONCE THE STORM MOVES NORTHWEST OF THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS LATE IN THE EVENING. WINDS OVER PUERTO RICO ARE FORECAST TO
INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH BY LATER THIS AFTERNOON WITH STRONGER GUSTS
ALONG THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE ISLAND AND IN HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
CURRENTLY SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN OFFSHORE ACROSS THE ANEGADA PASSAGE AND THE OFF SHORE
ATLANTIC WATERS...BUT RESIDENTS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND
PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THIS CLOSELY AS ANY INCREASE IN THE
INTENSITY THIS MORNING OR A MORE WESTWARD TRACK COULD BRING THE
STORM CLOSER TO THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...WITH MORE
SIGNIFICANT WIND IMPACTS.

...INLAND FLOODING...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER FRINGES OF
TROPICAL STORM CHRIS WILL BEGIN THIS MORNING ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...CULEBRA AND VIEQUES...AND OVER THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF
PUERTO RICO BY MID MORNING. HEAVY RAINS ARE THEN LIKELY AS THE
CENTER OF THE STORM PASSES TO THE NORTH OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO. THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK FOR TORRENTIAL RAINFALL
AND FLOODING LATE AFTERNOON WEDNESDAY AND INTO THURSDAY. THIS COULD
CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY BEHIND THE EXITING STORM AS LOW LEVEL WINDS
SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST. RAINFALL TOTALS OF THREE TO SIX INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST INTERIOR
SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE NORTHERN SLOPES OF THE ISLAND.
RIVERS ACROSS PUERTO RICO COULD EXPERIENCE RAPID RISES WITH SOME
RIVERS EXCEEDING BANKFULL LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD PLAN TO REMAIN IN PORT THROUGH THURSDAY.
SEAS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE LOCAL ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
THROUGH THE ANEGADA PASSAGE THIS MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY... AND
WILL LIKELY REACH 10 TO 15 FEET WITHIN 50 MILES OF THE CENTER OF
CHRIS. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED EFFECTIVE AT 11 AM TODAY
FOR PUERTO RICO INCLUDING CULEBRA AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. ROUGH
AND CONFUSED SURF AND VERY STRONG RIP CURRENTS WILL BE SEEN ACROSS
THE WATERS OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE NORTHERN COASTS OF PUERTO
RICO TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 8:30 AM AST
BY YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN SAN JUAN PUERTO
RICO.

$$

SNELL


























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