[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Aug 1 16:31:53 CDT 2006


WTNT43 KNHC 012128
TCDAT3
TROPICAL STORM CHRIS SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032006
530 PM EDT TUE AUG 01 2006

THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY IS BEING ISSUED TO ADJUST THE INTENSITY UPWARD
TO 50 KT...BASED ON A 64-KT FLIGHT-LEVEL WIND RECENTLY MEASURED BY
THE AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS.  ALSO...THE AIRCRAFT REPORTED THAT
THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS FALLEN TO 1003 MB.  THE FORECAST WIND
SPEEDS HAVE ALSO BEEN ADJUSTED UPWARD SOMEWHAT.  ONLY A SLIGHT
ADJUSTMENT TO THE INITIAL AND 12-HOUR FORECAST LOCATIONS IS MADE
USING THE MORE RECENT AIRCRAFT DATA...AND NO CHANGES TO THE
WARNINGS ARE REQUIRED AT THIS TIME.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      01/2130Z 18.0N  61.1W    50 KT
 12HR VT     02/0600Z 18.5N  62.6W    55 KT
 24HR VT     02/1800Z 19.1N  64.5W    60 KT
 36HR VT     03/0600Z 19.9N  66.6W    60 KT
 48HR VT     03/1800Z 20.5N  68.7W    60 KT
 72HR VT     04/1800Z 21.5N  73.0W    65 KT
 96HR VT     05/1800Z 22.5N  77.0W    65 KT
120HR VT     06/1800Z 23.5N  80.5W    65 KT

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/KNABB

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