[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Sep 28 21:18:16 CDT 2005


ABNT20 KNHC 290217
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA IS CENTERED OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN
SEAS BETWEEN JAMAICA...THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND HONDURAS.  WHILE
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BECOME MORE CONCENTRATED BETWEEN JAMAICA
AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...IT HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION NEAR
THE CENTER OF THE LOW.  HOWEVER...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE GRADUALLY
BECOMING MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS THE
POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NORTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
ABOUT 10 MPH.  AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS
SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM TOMORROW MORNING... IF
NECESSARY.  INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND
ADJACENT LAND AREAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS LOCATED OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF
MEXICO ABOUT 65 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GULFPORT MISSISSIPPI.  THE
ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY IS CURRENTLY MINIMAL...AND UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT AS THE SYSTEM
MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH.

ELSEWHERE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
FRIDAY.

FORECASTER BEVEN

$$
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