[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 260231
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT SUN SEP 25 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC
ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION RITA... LOCATED OVER EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI.

A BROAD AND COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE AREA IS CENTERED ABOUT 550 MILES
EAST OF BERMUDA.  DUE TO STRONG UPPER LEVEL WINDS... DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS LOW INTO A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE APPEARS UNLIKELY AS
IT MOVES LITTLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO... UNTIL MOVING
NORTHEASTWARD IN A COUPLE OF DAYS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 900 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST
OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED... WITH LIMITED
SHOWER ACTIVITY.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE STILL NOT CONDUCIVE FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT AND ARE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN ONLY
SLIGHTLY DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  THEREFORE... ANY DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.

SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH
A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE. SURFACE PRESSURES ARE NOT FALLING
IN THIS AREA... AND UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE
FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION... SO ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM
IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION RITA CAN BE FOUND UNDER
AWIPS HEADER TCPAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT33 KWNH.

FORECASTER KNABB

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