[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 250913
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT SUN SEP 25 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON
TROPICAL DEPRESSION RITA...LOCATED OVER SOUTHWESTERN ARKANSAS ABOUT
20 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HOT SPRINGS.

SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS MORNING INDICATES THAT THE BROAD AND COMPLEX
LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 350 MILES EAST OF BERMUDA IS
MERGING WITH A COLD FRONT...AND THAT THE POTENTIAL OF THE SYSTEM TO
BECOME A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE IS DECREASING.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 800 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST
OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED... WITH VERY
LIMITED SHOWER ACTIVITY.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY NOT
CONDUCIVE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT... BUT THEY COULD WEAKEN
SOMEWHAT AND ALLOW FOR SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS
IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE.  THERE ARE
NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AT THIS TIME...AND ANY DEVELOPMENT IS
EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
MONDAY.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION RITA CAN BE FOUND UNDER
AWIPS HEADER TCPAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT33 KWNH.

FORECASTER BEVEN

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