[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT73 KNHC 250233
SPFAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION RITA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  93.9 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7PM CDT TUE SEP 27 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

35.4N  91.8W      32  X  X  X 32   APALACHICOLA FL    X  1  1  X  2
36.3N  89.8W       8  8  1  X 17   PANAMA CITY FL     X  1  2  X  3
37.0N  87.6W       X  9  4  X 13   PENSACOLA FL       X  3  1  X  4
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  2  X  2   MOBILE AL          1  2  1  X  4
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  2  X  2   GULFPORT MS        X  2  1  X  3
ST MARKS FL        X  1  2  X  3

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7PM SUN TO  7AM MON
C FROM  7AM MON TO  7PM MON
D FROM  7PM MON TO  7PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KNABB


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