[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT43 KNHC 241437
TCDAT3
HURRICANE RITA DISCUSSION NUMBER  28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT SEP 24 2005

RITA HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND. DOPPLER
RADAR INDICATE THAT WINDS ARE ABOUT 80 TO 90 KNOTS AT ABOUT 5000
FEET. THIS WOULD SUPPORT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65 KNOTS AT THE SURFACE
BUT MUCH HIGHER GUSTS. NOW THAT THE CORE OF RITA IS WELL INLAND
WEAKENING SHOULD CONTINUE AS INDICATED BY DECAY SHIPS MODEL.

RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS. STEERING
CURRENTS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME VERY LIGHT SO ONLY A SMALL EASTWARD
DRIFT IS ANTICIPATED BEYOND 24 HOURS. RITA SHOULD PRODUCE
TORRENTIAL RAIN AS IT DRIFTS EASTWARD.

FORECASTER AVILA


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      24/1500Z 31.0N  94.3W    65 KT
 12HR VT     25/0000Z 32.5N  94.5W    40 KT...INLAND
 24HR VT     25/1200Z 34.0N  93.5W    30 KT...INLAND
 36HR VT     26/0000Z 34.5N  92.0W    25 KT...INLAND
 48HR VT     26/1200Z 34.5N  91.5W    25 KT...INLAND
 72HR VT     27/1200Z 34.5N  90.0W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 96HR VT     28/1200Z 34.5N  90.0W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
120HR VT     29/1200Z 34.5N  90.0W    25 KT...DISSIPATING


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