[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT73 KNHC 240251
SPFAT3
HURRICANE RITA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT FRI SEP 23 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  93.2 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7PM CDT MON SEP 26 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

31.4N  94.5W      48  X  X  X 48   GALVESTON TX      64  X  X  X 64
32.8N  94.5W      25  3  1  X 29   FREEPORT TX       37  X  X  X 37
33.5N  94.5W      17  8  1  1 27   PORT O CONNOR TX   5  1  1  2  9
PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  2  2   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  1  3  4
MOBILE AL          X  X  1  3  4   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  2  2
GULFPORT MS        X  X  1  4  5   GULF 28N 91W       1  1  X  3  5
BURAS LA           X  1  X  4  5   GULF 28N 93W      99  X  X  X 99
NEW ORLEANS LA     1  2  1  4  8   GULF 28N 95W       8  1  X  2 11
NEW IBERIA LA     46  X  X  X 46   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  1  3  4
PORT ARTHUR TX    86  X  X  X 86

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7PM SAT TO  7AM SUN
C FROM  7AM SUN TO  7PM SUN
D FROM  7PM SUN TO  7PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KNABB


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