[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Sep 23 13:16:27 CDT 2005
WTUS84 KHGX 231815
HLSHGX
GMZ330-335-350-355-370-375-TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-
235>238-232315-
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
115 PM CST FRI SEP 23 2005
...RITA A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE AND CONTINUES TO REMAIN A THREAT FOR
SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
...HURRICANE WARNING FOR ALL OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTHEAST
TEXAS...
...INLAND HURRICANE WARNING FOR AREAS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS GENERALLY
EAST OF HIGHWAY 288 AND INTERSTATE 45...
...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE INLAND HURRICANE WARNING FOR
AREAS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS GENERALLY EAST OF HIGHWAY 288 AND INTERSTATE
45...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH WATCH FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
...THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO THE RESIDENTS OF...
AUSTIN...BRAZORIA...BRAZOS...BURLESON...CHAMBERS...COLORADO...FORT
BEND...GALVESTON...GRIMES...HARRIS...HOUSTON...JACKSON...LIBERTY...
MADISON...MATAGORDA...MONTGOMERY...POLK...SAN JACINTO...TRINITY...
WALKER...WALLER...WASHINGTON...AND WHARTON COUNTIES.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
HURRICANE WARNING FOR ALL OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.
INLAND HURRICANE WARNING FOR AREAS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS GENERALLY
EAST OF HIGHWAY 288 AND INTERSTATE 45.
INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE INLAND HURRICANE WARNING FOR
AREAS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS GENERALLY EAST OF HIGHWAY 288 AND INTERSTATE
45.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.
...CURRENT STORM INFORMATION...
.LOCATION...
AT 1 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.2 WEST OR ABOUT 190 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
GALVESTON...OR 172 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HIGH ISLAND.
.MOVEMENT...
HURRICANE RITA WAS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...
THE CORE OF RITA WILL REACH THE UPPER TEXAS COAST TONIGHT.
.INTENSITY...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RITA IS
NOW A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. RITA IS
EXPECTED TO COME ASHORE AS A DANGEROUS HURRICANE.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
.EVACUATION INFORMATION...
EVACUATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETE. THOSE THAT HAVE NOT EVACUATED
YET SHOULD REMAIN IN PLACE OR MOVE TO A NEARBY STURDY BUILDING.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS
IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. IT WILL BE MORE DANGEROUS TO BE STUCK IN
YOUR CAR DURING TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE CONDITIONS.
...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
TIDE LEVELS ARE CURRENTLY RUNNING 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE
UPPER TEXAS COAST AND BAYS. WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE A
GRADUAL RISE TODAY AS SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE RITA CONTINUE
PROPAGATING ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS. THE PEAK FLOOD THREAT WILL BE
IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS SATURDAY PRIOR TO LANDFALL.
ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...THE SEVERE SURGE IMPACTS WOULD BE
MAINLY EAST OF HIGH ISLAND. ALL WATER HEIGHTS IN THE TABLE BELOW ARE
PREDICATED ON THIS TRACK AND IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THESE NUMBERS
WILL BE HIGHER SHOULD THE STORM VEER TO THE WEST OF THE FORECAST
TRACK.
PEAK WATER LEVELS WILL OCCUR AS THE HURRICANE APPROACHES AND
MOVES JUST INLAND. THEN...DURING THE MORNING HOURS WHEN STRONG
OFFSHORE WINDS ARE PREVAILING...WATER LEVELS SHOULD RAPIDLY RECEDE IN
THE UPPER PORTION OF GALVESTON BAY. REACHES UP NEAR THE HOUSTON SHIP
CHANNEL AND EAGLE POINT COULD FALL AS MUCH AS 4 TO 6 FEET BELOW
NORMAL. THIS COULD CAUSE WATER TO PILE UP ACROSS BAYSIDE LOCATIONS OF
GALVESTON ISLAND AND BOLIVAR PENINSULA. SURGE MODELS INDICATE THE
POSSIBILITY OF A 4 TO 6 FOOT SURGE BEING TRAPPED IN EAST BAY ALONG
THE BOLIVAR PENINSULA DURING THE MORNING HOURS.
THE FOLLOWING ARE THE HIGH TIDE TIMES FOR TONIGHT AND
SATURDAY...AS WELL AS THE PREDICTED WATER LEVELS.
LOCATION HIGH TIDE TIME EXPECTED WATER LEVEL
RELATIVE TO MEAN LOWER LOW
WATER
PLEASURE PIER 1223 AM CDT SAT 7.0 FEET
PORT BOLIVAR 211 AM CDT SAT 6.6 FEET
GALVESTON CHANNEL 157 AM CDT SAT 6.4 FEET
SAN LUIS PASS 148 AM CDT SAT 4.7 FEET
JAMAICA BEACH 435 AM CDT SAT 4.7 FEET
MORGANS POINT 1218 PM CDT SAT -4.1 FEET
EAGLE POINT 551 AM CDT SAT 3.6 FEET
FREEPORT 113 AM CDT SAT 5.6 FEET
CLEAR LAKE 802 AM CDT SAT 1.1 FEET
...WIND IMPACTS...
WIND GUSTS TO NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE NOW AFFECTING THE
UPPER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS...BAYS AND BEACHES. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO
INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...AS THE OUTER RAINBANDS BEGIN MOVING
INTO THE AREA.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...39 MPH OR GREATER...ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE ACROSS UPPER TEXAS COASTLINE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
HOURS. THESE WINDS SHOULD SPREAD INLAND TO THE INTERSTATE 10 CORRIDOR
AROUND 4 PM AND CONTINUE MOVING INLAND FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE US 59 CORRIDOR WILL BEGIN SEEING TROPICAL
STORM WINDS AFTER 8 PM. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS SHOULD REACH THE
COASTLINE NEAR HIGH ISLAND AROUND MIDNIGHT.
LOCATIONS FROM EAST OF A GALVESTON BAY TO HIGHWAY 59 SHOULD
ANTICIPATE SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS. CHAMBERS COUNTY AND
LIBERTY COUNTY INLAND TO POLK COUNTY COULD EXPERIENCE UP TO 10 HOURS
OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS. EXPECT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ALONG AND
EAST OF A HIGHWAY 288 TO INTERSTATE 45 LINE. AREAS FURTHER WEST SHOULD
EXPECT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS IN RAINBANDS.
ASSUMING THE RITA FOLLOWS THE FORECAST TRACK...LISTED BELOW ARE
ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WINDS SELECTED COUNTIES CAN EXPECT DURING THE EVENT.
THE TABLE REPRESENTS ONLY THE HIGHEST POSSIBLE WIND WHICH MAY OCCUR IN
THE GIVEN COUNTY (NOT COUNTY WIDE):
COUNTY SUSTAINED WINDS (MPH) PEAK GUST (MPH)
------ --------------------- ---------------
CHAMBERS 85 105
POLK 90 110
LIBERTY 85 105
GALVESTON 70 90
SAN JACINTO 70 85
HARRIS 65 85
TRINITY 60 75
MONTGOMERY 65 80
BRAZORIA 60 80
FORT BEND 60 75
HOUSTON 55 70
WHARTON 40 60
MATAGORDA 40 55
BRAZOS 40 60
AUSTIN 50 60
MADISON 50 65
WALLER 55 70
WALKER 60 75
GRIMES 50 60
WASHINGTON 45 55
AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN REGION
OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS...MAINLY EAST OF INTERSTATE 45. THIS MEANS
SUSTAINED WINDS GREATER THAN 74 MPH ARE POSSIBLE OVER THIS AREA.
AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN REGION
OF SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...MAINLY WEST OF INTERSTATE 45. THIS MEANS
THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 39 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THIS AREA.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL INCREASE LATER THIS EVENING AS THE
HURRICANE APPROACHES. AREAS EAST OF INTERSTATE 45 GENERALLY HAVE THE
BETTER CHANCES.
...RAINFALL...
OUTER RAINBANDS ARE NOW BEGINNING TO APPROACH SOUTHEAST TEXAS FROM
THE EAST AND WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS.
LOCATIONS EAST OF A LINE FROM CRYSTAL BEACH TO CROCKETT CAN EXPECT
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4
TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALONG INTERSTATE 45. WEST OF INTERSTATE 45...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UNDER 4 INCHES IS EXPECTED. ISOLATED HEAVIER
RAINFALL TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 10 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY OVER
OUR FAR EASTERN COUNTIES ESPECIALLY IF RITA SLOWS DOWN.
FOR MORE TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION...SEE THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER WEB PAGE AT HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV OR THE HOUSTON/GALVESTON
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB PAGE AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/HGX.
THE NEXT HURRICANE RITA STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 5 PM CDT.
$$
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