[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Sep 23 06:07:24 CDT 2005


WTUS84 KHGX 231106
HLSHGX
GMZ330-335-350-355-370-375-TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-
235>238-231700-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
605 AM CDT FRI SEP 23 2005

...RITA STILL A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE AND CONTINUES TO REMAIN A
THREAT FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

...HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE UPPER TEXAS COAST...

...INLAND HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN COUNTIES OF
SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...

...THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO THE RESIDENTS OF...GALVESTON...
AUSTIN...BRAZORIA...BRAZOS...BURLESON...CHAMBERS...COLORADO...FORT
BEND...GALVESTON...GRIMES...HARRIS...HOUSTON...JACKSON...LIBERTY...
MADISON...MATAGORDA...MONTGOMERY...POLK...SAN JACINTO...TRINITY...
WALKER...WALLER...WASHINGTON...AND WHARTON COUNTIES.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
HURRICANE WARNING FOR ALL OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

INLAND HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN COUNTIES OF
SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS.

...CURRENT STORM INFORMATION...

.LOCATION...
AT 4 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
26.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.0 WEST...OR ABOUT 325 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
GALVESTON TEXAS.

.MOVEMENT...
HURRICANE RITA WAS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON
THIS TRACK...THE CORE OF RITA WILL BE APPROACHING THE SOUTHWEST
LOUISIANA AND THE UPPER TEXAS COASTS LATE FRIDAY.

.INTENSITY...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 140 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
RITA IS A EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-
SIMPSON SCALE. ONLY MINOR FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.EVACUATION INFORMATION...
EVACUATIONS ARE CURRENTLY UNDER WAY. EVACUATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETE BY
NOON FRIDAY AS TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD
ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS FRIDAY.


...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
TIDE LEVELS ARE CURRENTLY RUNNING 1 TO 1.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG
THE UPPER TEXAS COAST.  TIDE LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
A GRADUAL RISE TODAY AS SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE RITA CONTINUE
PROPAGATING ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS.  THE PEAK FLOOD THREAT WILL BE
IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS SATURDAY PRIOR TO LANDFALL.

ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...THE MAIN SURGE IMPACTS WOULD BE MAINLY
EAST OF HIGH ISLAND. ALL WATER HEIGHTS IN THE TABLE BELOW ARE
PREDICATED ON THIS TRACK AND IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THERE IS STILL
SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXACT LANDFALL LOCATION.

ADDITIONALLY...THE TIME RANGE OF HIGH TIDES SATURDAY FALL ON BOTH
SIDES OF THE PREDICTED LANDFALL... WITH THE TIDES IN THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS AHEAD OF LAND FALL... AND THOSE LATE MORNING AFTER LANDFALL...
WHEN WATER LEVELS IN GALVESTON BAY SHOULD BE FALLING MUCH BELOW NORMAL
LEVELS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF OFFSHORE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ON THE
WEST SIDE OF RITA.

THE FOLLOWING ARE THE HIGH TIDE TIMES FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...AS
WELL AS THE PREDICTED WATER LEVELS.

LOCATION          HIGH TIDE TIME     EXPECTED WATER LEVEL
                                     RELATIVE TO MEAN LOWER LOW
WATER

PLEASURE PIER     1223 AM CDT SAT         7.0 FEET

PORT BOLIVAR       211 AM CDT SAT         6.6 FEET

GALVESTON CHANNEL  157 AM CDT SAT         6.4 FEET

SAN LUIS PASS      148 AM CDT SAT         4.7 FEET

JAMAICA BEACH      435 AM CDT SAT         4.7 FEET

MORGANS POINT     1218 PM CDT SAT        -3.8 FEET

EAGLE POINT        551 AM CDT SAT         3.6 FEET

FREEPORT           113 AM CDT SAT         5.6 FEET

CLEAR LAKE         802 AM CDT SAT         1.1 FEET

...WIND IMPACTS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...39 MPH OR GREATER...ARE EXPECTED TO
REACH THE UPPER TEXAS COAST AROUND NOON TODAY AND SPREAD INLAND
TO THE INTERSTATE 10 CORRIDOR BY LATE AFTERNOON.  THE TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO PUSH NORTHWARD ACROSS THE REMAINDER
OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS BY AROUND MIDNIGHT.

THE ONSET OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED AT THE COAST LATE
THIS EVENING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD
INLAND ACROSS THE EASTERN 1/4 PORTION OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS...GENERALLY
EAST OF INTERSTATE 45...THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF TONIGHT AND
INTO SATURDAY MORNING. ASSUMING THE RITA FOLLOWS THE FORECAST TRACK
...LISTED BELOW ARE ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WINDS SELECTED COUNTIES CAN
EXPECT DURING THE EVENT.

THE TABLE REPRESENTS ONLY THE HIGHEST POSSIBLE WIND WHICH MAY OCCUR IN
THE GIVEN COUNTY (NOT COUNTY WIDE):

COUNTY      SUSTAINED WINDS (MPH)   PEAK GUST (MPH)
------      ---------------------   ---------------
CHAMBERS         100                    125
POLK              87                    109
LIBERTY          104                    130
GALVESTON         74                     92
SAN JACINTO       77                     96
HARRIS            70                     88
TRINITY           71                     89
MONTGOMERY        72                     90
BRAZORIA          63                     79
FORT BEND         60                     75
HOUSTON           63                     79
WHARTON           49                     61
MATAGORDA         47                     59
BRAZOS            54                     68

AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN REGION
OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS...MAINLY EAST OF INTERSTATE 45. THIS MEANS
SUSTAINED WINDS GREATER THAN 74 MPH ARE POSSIBLE OVER THIS AREA.

AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN REGION
OF SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...MAINLY WEST OF INTERSTATE 45. THIS MEANS
THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 39 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THIS AREA.

...RAINFALL...
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE PATH OF
RITA...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF I-45. WEST OF I-45...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
UNDER 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. ISOLATED HEAVIER RAINFALL TOTALS IN
EXCESS OF 10 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY OVER OUR FAR EASTERN
COUNTIES ESPECIALLY IF RITA SLOWS DOWN.

FOR MORE TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION...SEE THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER WEB PAGE AT HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV OR THE HOUSTON/GALVESTON
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB PAGE AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/HGX.

THE NEXT HURRICANE RITA STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 11 AM CDT.

$$

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