[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Sep 23 03:40:39 CDT 2005


WTNT72 KNHC 230840
SPFAT2
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT FRI SEP 23 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF PHILIPPE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  60.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT MON SEP 26 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

33.7N  61.2W      39  X  X  X 39   37.4N  54.6W       X  X 13  X 13
35.1N  59.3W       6 14  5  X 25   BERMUDA            8  3  X  X 11

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
C FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
D FROM  2AM SUN TO  2AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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