[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT73 KNHC 230248
SPFAT3
HURRICANE RITA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT THU SEP 22 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  90.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7PM CDT SUN SEP 25 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

28.4N  93.0W      41  X  X  X 41   FREEPORT TX       15  9  1  X 25
29.8N  94.2W      19 10  X  1 30   PORT O CONNOR TX   6  8  2  2 18
31.1N  94.7W       4 18  2  1 25   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   1  4  2  3 10
PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  3  3   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  1  2  3
MOBILE AL          X  1  1  4  6   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  1  2  3
GULFPORT MS        1  2  2  4  9   GULF 28N 89W       8  2  X  1 11
BURAS LA           5  4  2  1 12   GULF 28N 91W      46  X  X  X 46
NEW ORLEANS LA     5  6  2  2 15   GULF 28N 93W      44  X  X  X 44
NEW IBERIA LA     15  6  1  1 23   GULF 28N 95W      19  3  1  X 23
PORT ARTHUR TX    17 11  1  X 29   GULF 27N 96W       4  4  2  2 12
GALVESTON TX      20  7  1  1 29   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  1  2  3

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7PM FRI TO  7AM SAT
C FROM  7AM SAT TO  7PM SAT
D FROM  7PM SAT TO  7PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KNABB


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