[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 221501
SPFAT2
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT THU SEP 22 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF PHILIPPE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  57.1 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT SUN SEP 25 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

30.6N  58.7W      35  X  X  1 36   BERMUDA            X  1  2  X  3
32.6N  58.8W      13  9  1  X 23   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  2  2
34.5N  57.0W       X 10  6  2 18

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM FRI TO  8PM FRI
C FROM  8PM FRI TO  8AM SAT
D FROM  8AM SAT TO  8AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER MAINELLI/FRANKLIN


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