[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 220831
SPFAT2
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT THU SEP 22 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF PHILIPPE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  57.2 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT SUN SEP 25 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

28.1N  59.0W      44  X  X  X 44   32.5N  59.0W       X 12  6  2 20
30.5N  60.0W       8 20  X  X 28   BERMUDA            X  2  5  1  8

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
C FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
D FROM  2AM SAT TO  2AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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