[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 212035
SPFAT2
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT WED SEP 21 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF PHILIPPE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  57.1 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT SAT SEP 24 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

25.3N  57.9W      39  X  X  X 39   30.5N  59.0W       X 12  9  1 22
27.8N  58.4W      11 15  1  X 27   BERMUDA            X  X  3  4  7

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
C FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
D FROM  2PM FRI TO  2PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BROWN/FRANKLIN


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