[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 202041
SPFAT2
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT TUE SEP 20 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF PHILIPPE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  57.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT FRI SEP 23 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

21.8N  58.3W      34  X  X  X 34   26.5N  59.7W       X 10  9  2 21
24.0N  59.0W       7 16  1  1 25   BERMUDA            X  X  1 10 11

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
C FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
D FROM  2PM THU TO  2PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BROWN/AVILA


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