[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT73 KNHC 201737
SPFAT3
HURRICANE RITA SPECIAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM EDT TUE SEP 20 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  81.7 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT FRI SEP 23 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

24.3N  85.8W      46  X  X  X 46   GULFPORT MS        X  X  1  5  6
24.5N  88.3W       5 24  X  X 29   BURAS LA           X  X  4  7 11
24.5N  90.5W       X 12  9  1 22   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  1  8  9
MUHA 230N 824W    59  X  X  X 59   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  1  9 10
MUAN 219N 850W     6  1  X  X  7   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  9  9
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  X  6  6   GALVESTON TX       X  X  X 11 11
MMTM 222N 979W     X  X  X  3  3   FREEPORT TX        X  X  X 11 11
MMTX 210N 974W     X  X  X  2  2   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  X 10 10
MMMD 210N 897W     X  1  2  1  4   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  X  9  9
MARATHON FL       99  X  X  X 99   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  X 10 10
MIAMI FL           8  X  X  X  8   GULF 29N 85W       X  2  1  1  4
KEY WEST FL       99  X  X  X 99   GULF 29N 87W       X  3  4  2  9
MARCO ISLAND FL   21  X  X  X 21   GULF 28N 89W       X  5  8  3 16
FT MYERS FL        5  X  X  X  5   GULF 28N 91W       X  1  8  7 16
VENICE FL          3  1  X  X  4   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  3 12 15
APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  1  1  2   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  X 13 13
PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  1  2  3   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  X 12 12
PENSACOLA FL       X  X  1  3  4   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  1 11 12
MOBILE AL          X  X  1  4  5

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM WED TO  8PM WED
C FROM  8PM WED TO  8AM THU
D FROM  8AM THU TO  8AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


$$
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net