[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Sep 20 09:57:27 CDT 2005


WTNT72 KNHC 201457
SPFAT2
HURRICANE PHILIPPE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT TUE SEP 20 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF PHILIPPE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  57.1 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT FRI SEP 23 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

20.7N  57.8W      34  X  X  X 34   25.0N  59.0W       X 13  6  2 21
22.9N  58.4W       9 14  1  1 25   BERMUDA            X  X  X  7  7

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM WED TO  8PM WED
C FROM  8PM WED TO  8AM THU
D FROM  8AM THU TO  8AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BROWN/AVILA


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