[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Sep 20 03:31:53 CDT 2005


WTNT72 KNHC 200831
SPFAT2
HURRICANE PHILIPPE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT TUE SEP 20 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF PHILIPPE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  56.8 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT FRI SEP 23 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

21.3N  57.6W      37  X  X  X 37   25.0N  58.6W       X 13  5  3 21
23.0N  58.1W      13 10  1  1 25   BERMUDA            X  X  X  6  6

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED
C FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
D FROM  2AM THU TO  2AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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